Showing posts with label networking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label networking. Show all posts

Sunday, May 16, 2021

Conversational Commerce

Conversational Commerce

The retail omni market, along with the entire retail supply chain collaborative network, is being driven by consumer demand towards a significant disruption that will transform the legacy consumer focus into a social commerce, or conversational commerce, marketplace. I think the conversational commerce name is highly descriptive of the transformation and provides a highly descriptive name to the next transformation wave. The next transformation wave will be focused on the two-way interaction between customer and retailer or customer and service provided or retailer and service provider, I’m sure you get the drift, creating an eComerce network market. The next transformation will eliminate the hierarchy across the retail marketplace and replace the hierarchy with a network of direct connections to the appropriate partner at the appropriate time in the retail transaction. The benefits of this model are dramatic for all parties involved and provide the framework for interaction through the next transformation wave.

Conversational commerce is the next logical step in the transformation of the social commerce marketplace network and provides a great way to frame the transformation. The focus of conversational commerce is a network of two-way interaction between consumers and partners to support shopping and purchasing in the omni market. This is a further clarification and more importantly an enhancement to shopping and purchasing in the marketplace. This creates a virtual shopping capability that incorporates virtually the interaction that normally occurs in the physical retail shopping trip. It provides the ability to interact across all of the parties involved in the shopping experience to provide the value-added services and products during the shopping experience that would be difficult in the current standard eCommerce or omni market shopping experience. The two-way interaction is a very powerful tool that will improve the shopping experience and increase the opportunities for additional sales and add-on services.

The transformation definitely requires a means to coordinate and direct the communications across the involved parties and this is where the control tower concept and technology comes into play. A control tower framework is required to provide a plug-and-play framework for communication and collaboration with external partners and even consumers that allows the partners to focus on the business benefits rather than the communication requirements. The control tower framework must be embraced and implemented across all of the partners to maintain the communication and realize the benefits. This framework provides the basis for integration from a message perspective to allow the partner to communicate with a partner in the most efficient manner for the partner while maintaining a clean and stable interface with their own internal systems. The framework provides an externally facing tool that is flexible and robust to simplify the addition and integration with other partners, it does not eliminate the work to external partners, it eliminates the work on the internal integration though to the business applications.

Conversational commerce focuses on the two-way communication between partners, including manufacturers, transport, service providers and consumers. This model will transform the omni channel retail marketplace again based on the consumer lifestyles and the consumer embrace of technology to support the social network. Conversational commerce is another term for what I have been calling social commerce which is the two-way direct communications with all players or partners involved in the retail marketplace. Consumers view retail shopping as a social experience which is why malls were so successful and now the consumers are using conversational commerce to create a virtual mall.

Monday, February 22, 2021

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply chain network digitization has become a  key factor in supply chain resilience with the need driven in large part by VUCA resulting in waves of disruption across markets.   The number of companies seeking approaches to measure and benchmark their digital infrastructure and processes is growing as a result. In order to achieve the improvements necessary to support the demand it is important to incorporate tools that can assess, and perhaps most importantly, monitor the benefits and challenges resulting from the digitization process itself.  This is another variation on a continuous improvement program and requires the same methods and practices to achieve the digitization objectives and benefits.  It is important to review and validate modifications because of the relationships between multiple digitization initiatives and their combined benefits and challenges.  


Kearney’s Resilience Stress Test “Strategic Options To Build Resilience”, assesses supply chain resilience outside of the common disaster scenario capability and capacity planning to be able to rapidly flex, or repurpose, assets, across your extended supply chain network to be able to respond to unanticipated supply shocks, such as trade wars, major weather events, or permanent shifts in demand.  The dimensions of this stress test framework include: geography; planning; suppliers; inbound transportation; manufacturing; outbound distribution; product portfolio and platform; and financial/working capital.


In order to be successful the framework monitoring must be spread widely across all supply network points, and processes, as well as those of suppliers and partners, initially starting with critical processes and partners, with a focus on measuring the degree of digitalization and capabilities in each of these factors. These digitization capabilities and processes include using IoT sensors in logistics or fulfilment operations, robotic process automation in production or distribution, and analytics and machine learning in production centers, inventory management, and financial capital management.  As a starting point, the initial evaluation provides the baseline that should be used to monitor and measure progress and must be developed to support monitoring across your extended supply network.


This is where automated control tower software can and should be utilized to support a process that will continuously monitor the network.  Ideally, this control tower solution would be capable of alerts and even prescribe how to resolve issues as well as actually resolving issues automatically as they occur.  The challenge in the extended supply chain network is caused by the velocity of disruption experienced across your network.  These disruptions can occur with such speed and spread across your network partners that it becomes impossible to perform the necessary analysis and adjustments to react and address the disruption in a timely manner.  It is not enough to identify after the fact because of the potential damage to your business.  The velocity of the disruption and the potential impact requires immediate response and this can be achieved by a robust software solution that spans the supply chain network.


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tom.brouillette@gmail.com



Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Digital Transformation As A Realization

 

Digital Transformation As A Realization

 

In reflection, we have been going through digital transformation since the 19th century and we have reached a point now where technology and technology tools have reached a point where we can begin to realize our dreams.  Science fiction writers have been discussing digital transformation forever and, in fact, we are now entering another significant time of digital realization because the technology has reached a point where the dreams of transformation can be realized.  These capabilities are now creating the next significant disruption that is driving new realization along with new waves of disruptions.  These new waves of disruption are being driven in large part by the dramatic increase in consumer acceptance, and embrace, of digital capabilities that has been driven by the necessary responses to the pandemic.


To paraphrase Arthur C. Clark - technology capabilities look very much like magic when initially introduced.  Consumers have embraced and are now weaving the technology ‘magic’ into their daily lives in ways and capabilities they would only have dreamed even 5 years ago!  These tools and capabilities are bringing new waves of disruption to the market as consumers and companies both experiment.  The greatest factor and force driving disruption now is not really the technology, it's the way that consumers use the technology combined with an impatience that will not wait for the market to catch up.  This is where the winners in the market will shine with a strategy of resilience and flexibility to allow them to sense and respond quickly to the continuing waves of disruption.


I see a key tool and capability that will allow companies to respond to the disruption is the tools and framework of process automation that will allow these companies to put together new processes across legacy applications to test the response.  This provides a significant value to these companies, the ability to ‘try before you buy’ the functionality in a pilot mode.  This strategy allows the company to iteratively develop and validate the process and functionality quickly without wholesale disruption in the legacy business applications.  The process automation concept, and especially the ability to automate across legacy applications, has been around for years. Now the tools and capabilities to meet the rapidly changing demands are coming together through a number of new and more robust RPA tool sets that allow organizations to react to the waves of disruption.


I would argue that legacy ERP applications do not require wholesale replacement and that the new crop of RPA tools can be utilized to modernize the legacy ERP through efficient integration with new tools. The enterprise financial requirements remain through the waves of disruptions and the legacy ERP implemented has been proven to support the financial business so this allows the enterprise to focus on response to the disruption rather than the herculean effort to replace the ERP.  These times of VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity) require tools that support the necessary flexibility and resilience to react effectively to the disruption and RPA tools provide the flexibility necessary to  

respond efficiently to the disruption.


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.




Wednesday, April 8, 2020

Disruption Driving Transformation Of The Supply Chain

 
Disruption displaces an existing market or industry to produce something new and more efficient and worthwhile. It is at once destructive and creative. Disruption in the marketplace is driving a transformation of the supply chain into a more efficient and flexible framework that can support the continuous disrupting forces. This transformation of the supply chain is driven not only by reaction to disrupting forces in the marketplace but also from the enabling technologies developing at a breakneck pace.

Historically, supply chain disruption has been described as a major breakdown in production or distribution nodes that comprise a supply chain. This definition of disruption implies an event within the supply chain that interrupts the normal process and flow that must be overcome to return to the pre-event state. However, technologies, especially eCommerce technology, coupled with improvements in network capabilities that are driven by consumer lifestyle demands have redefined disruption into a break that will never return to the pre-disruption normal, the disruption creates a new normal.

NOTE: The COVID-19 disruption is another example of disruption driven by consumer demands, in this case though there are additional disrupting factors that add to the equation. These factors include disruption in the manufacturing capabilities and also, more importantly, business continuity disruption that has highlighted the brittle nature of the pre-COVID-19 extended supply chain.

This process of recovery into a new normal is what makes up innovation and new capabilities for the market. Rather than a recovery to the pre-disruption state, the disruption produces a recognition of a need for innovation and change based on the market demands for innovation in the process. Disruptive innovations tend to be produced by outsiders and entrepreneurs in startups, rather than existing companies. This innovation cycle is now driven by consumer lifestyle demands colliding with the existing market practices creating an innovation cycle. This innovation cycle disrupted the continuous improvement cycled to a continuous innovation cycle and the market leaders recognized and adjusted to the change.

Currently, the waves of innovation in the market are driven by supply chain participants recognizing and developing features and functionality designed to meet customer expectations, partner needs and financial requirements. Supply chain disruption is the repurposing and realigning of existing capabilities to support changing consumer lifestyle demands. Then, just for good measure, the great disruptors add new supply chain capabilities to enhance the innovation.

The best change agents in the extended supply chain implement these features and functionality before the consumer recognizes the need. This drive to experiment based on sensing a market shift that creates the demand for goods and services is the actual driving force of disruptive innovation in the market. Disruptive innovation in the supply chain is a leading influence in remaking the market to meet consumer demands. Consumer demands are being driven at an enormous speed and this velocity of change requires robust tools and practices to react. I believe the supply chain is particularly ready and capable to develop these required tools and capabilities because of the history of disruption within the supply chain.

Shifting demands from all corners of the market—ranging from product and consumer services to supply chain partners—contribute to supply chain disruption and in turn are driving innovation in the supply chain as a reaction. Consumers as the ‘Great Disruptor’ in the marketplace and are driving the supply chain to innovate in capabilities and flexibility in order to react to the disruption. The supply chain innovators are driven by a spirit of experimentation that in turn allows them to innovate in the face of the discontinuous disruption. The best of the innovators incorporate the continuous improvement (PDCA - Plan, Do, Check, Act) practice to support the innovation cycles driven by the disruption.

This transformation will only increase in speed as disruption drives new disruption. We have entered an age of disruptive transformation driven by the demands of the market that is no longer accepting the status quo. In order to survive in the age of disruptive transformation the market partners must also embrace a practice of experimentation based on flexibility.

Sunday, April 5, 2020

Supply Chain Reshaped By COVID-19 Disruption




There is no question that the Coronavirus has disrupted the world and in the face of all this disruption, the supply chain is being reshaped in reaction to the waves of disruption started by this pandemic. It is safe to say that the world social and economic order has been turned upside down during this time in reaction to the speed and the range of disruption driven by this virus. There has been no area left untouched at this point and the focus is on reaction and adjustments in reaction to the disruption. This requires more than ever extreme flexibility and robust collaboration and communication to sense and respond to the disruption.

I firmly believe that one of the key strengths developed over the years on the extended supply chain is the ability to sense and respond to disruption in a manner that efficiently identifies disrupting factors and resolves through a robust process of continuous improvement. The baseline tools, practices and procedures are in place to respond to the disruption and these have really been the foundation framework that has helped the supply chain to respond and continue to support the market.

The question now is - What process and procedures should be incorporated to allow the extended supply chain to support the multi-faceted waves of disruption that will continue?


These are some key factors that will support the velocity and impact of disruption:

First and foremost is robust, open and holistic collaboration practices. This is key to the ‘sense’ process in sense and response to the disruptions. This requires open sharing of information collected from all quarters in order to better understand relationships and impact of the disruption. Without the collaborative practices the response portion of sense and respond runs a great risk of reaction to the wrong cause of the disruption.

Data collection and analysis provides the information and identifies the relationships that are driving the disruption. There is really nothing new to the level of importance of data in the ability to first sense the disruption and then determine the cause and identify a reaction to the disruption.

Define and implement actions and change based on the data analysis in response to the disruption. One key to the implementation of change is the realization and acceptance that there is no silver bullet that will address the disruption. The disruption is fluid and the changes and reaction must be fluid as well!

The reaction in the system to the change must be reviewed and validated to confirm the response to the change provided a positive impact. This is starting the process over again.

Finally, the most important factor now is speed of reaction! This means multithreading reactions and actions with the analysis of the data. There are two key tool in this time to analyze reactions; the use of Artificial Intelligence and robust collaborative practices.

The guiding factor in this time of disruption must be ‘Don’t Panic and Respond to Data’! This will be the most difficult and greatest time of disruption and when you add the cultural and health disruption to this business disruption the impact can initially seem overwhelming. In order to overcome this feeling we must identify a program that includes a process of actions to address the disruption. We should be using the experience gained over the recent years driven by business and consumer disruption in order to meet the demands of the current disruption.

Friday, January 3, 2020

Data Analytics And Artificial Intelligence Driving Disruption


One of the most critical capabilities to responding to change and disruption in the marketplace is the ability to sense the change in a manner and, most importantly, timeframe that allows a response to be identified and executed. The frequency and discontinuous nature of change rocking the market requires a robust process that takes into account as many factors as possible to identify the change. This process then must describe factors and relationships to allow them to be analyzed to develop the response. The difficulty lies in the volume of data, both new and old, that must be taken into account to first identify the change and second to guide in determining a response. This is where data analytics practices utilizing artificial intelligence comes into the equation to support the business.

The two challenges; data for analytics and the actual analytics require a thoughtful strategy and approach that will allow you to sense the demands from the market in both a manner and a timeframe that will meet the velocity of change requirements. These challenges go hand-in-hand as two sides of the same coin; you cannot sense the change without a great deal of data to analyze and you cannot analyze the amount of data without the artificial intelligence to process large amounts of data.

From the data perspective it is very fortunate that the big data tools and storage technology has advanced to the stage were the collection and maintenance of the data is no longer an issue. This allows the collection of vast amounts of data available from all points of the supply chain and especially from the eCommerce channels. This data along the supply chain can now easily be captured for detailed analysis and because of the volume of data available the results of the analytics can be more accurate and more informative of trends. The important point here is the collection of data from the viewpoint that the more data the better because you never know where the analysis will take you and in order to come to a conclusion you must have the data to analyze and also prove the concept.

Ten years ago, in the early growth stages of big data, the challenge was the ability to collect and store the amounts of data for analysis and the analytic query tools to quickly perform the analysis. This required careful review of the data available to select the appropriate elements that you believed were necessary to produce the analytic results. Then the data collection required over night collection and the analytics were run to produce large reports in a daily schedule. Everything took time and you had to be careful to analyze the expected outcome. Now though because of the dramatic improvements in the technology the process and results are much more robust and immediate. Now there is no concern about the amount of data and the queries themselves are also much more interactive.

The analytics of the data presents the challenge in this equation and this is where the focus should be placed now. Artificial intelligence tools really come into play from this perspective to provide a value add to the equation. Artificial intelligence and machine learning will be a baseline requirement to allow the market to sense and then determine how to respond to the changing demands. These tools will are necessary to first sense and understand the demands of the market and then these same tools will provide the means to analyze the potential solutions and even forecast the impact to the market of change.

The key benefit of these tools is the speed of analytical results and then combine that with the delivery speed of a solution. Speed of sensing the demand and then speed of response are the objectives that must be front and center for the market and the participants in the market. All indicators based on technology lead to increased speed of demands and resulting disruption in the market and market participants will not have the time required for any manual analysis of these trends. In addition, only failure will come from participants that wait for the market to deliver a solution that they can adopt.

The participants that embrace artificial intelligence combined with machine learning will be the players that succeed and prosper in the market. The rate of failure that we have seen in the market will only increase as the velocity of changing demands increase. The good news is the building block tools to quickly and efficiently sense and respond to the increased velocity of changing demands are already available. The bad news is that the market participants must embrace the tools to develop their own practices to use the tools.



Monday, December 23, 2019

Discontinuous Demands Of The Market





Consumers are driving waves of discontinuous demands that are disrupting the market and all of the partners in the market. The cycles and the velocity of changing demands has increased as a result of the consumer embrace of technologies that allow the consumer to shape their demands based on their changing lifestyle requirements. Just as the market reacts to a set of demands it seems that the consumers shift and change the demands again. This cycle is complicated by the combinations of generational, technology and lifestyle priorities. The market must implement the process and tools to sense and respond to the demands in a manner that allows them to maintain the pace of the discontinuous demands.

Millennials and Gen X’ers are entering and as a result of their entrance are impacting the market in a big way as a result of their comfort with technology and their imagination in supporting and even creating their lifestyle demands. These millennial and Gen X’er generations are the ‘tip of the spear’ in utilizing technology to create new ways to meet their demands. They are also a significant reason for the decline of department stores, large retailers and brick and mortar stores that is especially demonstrated in reductions in mall and store traffic.

The largest impact though is from the baby boomers embrace of technology and capabilities. This generation is a quick learner and perhaps most importantly from a market impact perspective they are also quick to embrace new trends and capabilities. Technology provides the opportunity to explore and rebuild a market and a very large number of baby boomers are searching for ways to support their lifestyle demands. In addition, baby boomers are not afraid of technology and as a result are quick adaptors to new technologies and capabilities that can address their demands.

Technology is the great equalizer in the market from both the consumer and the partners supplying the consumer. The combination of generations and their propensity to new demands and quick adaptation of new capabilities has dramatically shortened the change cycles. This, in turn, has left the market struggling to maintain and react. This cycle and resulting impact is quickening and bringing with it a faster disruption to the market that must be addressed in order to survive.

The change cycle has reached the point now where there is really no time for the market to adjust and extend the new capabilities across partners. The cycle has reached the point where the market must react quickly or fall behind. Falling behind can be the beginning of the end though because of the difficulty in catching up with the market.

This is where the importance of the collaborative social network practices come into play for the market to allow the partners to collaborate in reaction to meet the market demands. In other words, a strong collaborative network allows the partners to react and adjust to changing demands more efficiently and quickly. This is where the social networking technologies and practices make a big impact on the market reaction.

Social network technologies combined with big data and artificial intelligence analytics provide the capabilities to sense change in market demands more efficiently and earlier to allow for reaction time by the partners. Collaborative practices and tools allow partners to react in a manner that does not require each partner to develop a reaction to the demand. Instead the collaborative practices allow partners to take advantage of the specialties of each partner in reaction to the changing demands. The strength of the collaborative network allows market reaction to demands at the speed of the changing demands.

The greatest difficulty though is overcoming cultural practices that historically have viewed the changes in meeting demands as a trade secret to create a competitive demand. The culture needs to change to increase sharing and collaboration to sense and react to the changing demands. The competitive advantage is in the sharing and collaboration to allow the partner to more quickly react to the demands.

The measures especially utilizing collaborative practices to respond to the changing market demands are not overwhelming. These collaborative practices have been utilized for years in the extended supply chain as a means to react and respond to changing demands. The difficult actions from the market reaction perspective have been related to cultural practices both in the market and in the responses to the market demands. This has shown that overcoming cultural challenges in market leadership will be the number one challenge and delays or continuing in the same cultural practices will only cause the continual decline for these current leaders in the market.

Monday, December 16, 2019

Artificial Intelligence - The Common Strategic Thread





All networks, social, business, integration and collaboration, news and extended supply chain networks are all related through a common thread, data and more specifically - how is the data used to drive decisions and execution strategies? The glue then that combines the data in a manner that can be used to sense and respond to the waves of disruption in the market.

I believe that the constant running through all aspects of the market place is the discontinuous disruption that is driven by consumer embrace of technology combined with the market reactions to the consumer demands. Marketplace partners must recognize this new reality and work to incorporate methods to obtain the data necessary to feed the decision making process. The value and the accuracy is based upon the amount and types of data that are incorporated and available to the process. This precept itself drives the need and the value of collaborative analysis and data collection across the partners.

This model is especially important to the retail marketplace where the market is continuously buffeted by changing demands from consumers that are themselves driven by changing technical capabilities. These reactions and impact from technology has been a fact of life for quite some time within the extended supply chain and the pressure of reaction to disruption combined with the demands of cost containment and reductions are driving collaborative partnerships in the extended supply chain. These partnerships along with the resulting data collaboration can be used as a model for the marketplace as a whole. This is a key reason for the importance placed on the supply chain by Amazon and others would benefit greatly by embracing this practice.

In addition to the importance of collaborative data, the marketplace partners must also take into account the level of accuracy changes that occur during the life cycle of the analysis. The accuracy of the decision goes through a measurable life cycle:

  • Infancy starts with sensing the potential reactions to the demands. This is an unclear time where many options can be taken in reaction to the data and the analysis. This is the beginning of experimentation to test the options.
  • Mid-term or decision childhood where the options are narrowed based on additional data analysis based on the results of experimentation from the infancy stage. This is the refinement of decisions and strategy based on the results of experimentation. This is marked by refinement and addition of experiments to support analysis refinement.
  • Maturity or decision adulthood where the strategy is fully formed and executed based on the refinement resulting from the data analysis. This is also where the next disrupting concept begins to form and requires the continued analysis of results from the strategy to form the new concept and strategy.
  • End of life of old age where the positive results of the strategy decline and the consumer and market are driving the new disruption. This is end of the strategy value and it is equally important to be able to sense the decline of the strategy as it is to identify the beginnings of a new disrupting factor.

You can see that the process I described above follows the PDCA, continuous improvement process, which is a standard practice of the supply chain. This provides a solid framework to sense and respond to the disrupting factors and has been incorporated across a wide range of marketplace practices. The disrupting factor that drives improvements to this process is the collaborative data collection and analysis that allows the process to sense potential changes earlier and then through AI analysis provides the guidance for experimentation and validation to formulate the change to react to the disruption.

Saturday, November 30, 2019

Social Networks Driving Supply Chain Disruption



Social network collaborative technologies have left a mark on the personal communications world in the way that the technologies encourage both immediate connections and in the communications capabilities between connections. You can see the impact across all areas of interaction and these tools and the new collaborative capabilities they enable have disrupted not only personal social interaction but also the retail marketplace and the extended supply chain network. The disruption in the supply chain network can be seen in all aspects of the supply chain that thrive on collaboration and interaction, in other words these capabilities have disrupted the supply chain network practices. The resulting waves of discontinuous disruption will continue to be felt across the supply chain network for a long time to come.

Social network technologies and the resulting collaboration technologies are founded on open and efficient communications through networks and across technology platforms. The extended supply chain and partners processes and procedures require open and efficient communications through networks and across technology platforms so this has been a match made in heaven. This embrace of technologies was simply waiting for the right moment of technology and extensions of network technologies and frankly imagination to rise and disrupt the supply chain.

The pieces and practices have been in place in the supply chain for a long time and really waiting for someone with the imagination and will to define and deliver the potential. The tools for communication between have been available through EDI technologies, for instance. These technologies have been enhanced though to support extended connectivity demands via improvements in network and wireless technologies. The Internet of Things (IoT) has played a key role in the disruption of the communication. These technologies continue to disrupt process and practices as capabilities are developed to support the demands.

The areas of focus and disruption change based on reactions to demands and imagination in delivery and capabilities. The LTL market, for instance is in the throws of a major disruption now based on shared ride technologies. This has flowed into freight forwarders and also customization demands to support inventory management for last mile deliveries. This is a great example of consumer demands driving the market to incorporate social technologies, in this case ride share technologies, into the business process to improve the practices. Another example of technologies and network capabilities impact on supply chain is the Iot tools and capabilities utilization to improve tracking and planning capabilities that has been a continuous improvement process for quite some time.

Blockchain tracking and tracing capabilities are incorporated to support demands of lot trace and date management for food products to provide historic product pedigree information accuracy. These capabilities were initially slow to acceptance and now the combination of market demands (read consumer demands), regulatory requirements to support recalls and improvements in technology and network capabilities are driving this to mainstream usage. Blockchain technologies already provide a great deal of benefits and while already delivered significant impact in the supply chain it is really still in its infancy and I expect the capabilities and usage to expand with new imaginative demand.

Retail disruption has combined with technologies to produce a discontinuous disruption in supply chain to support changing consumer demands. Disruptive forces have always been around and the big difference now is the speed of the disruption. This speed has been increased as a result of technology and network capabilities available to the consumer more than any other factor, the key factor to the discontinuous disruption is the embrace of technology by consumers. The technology, combined with the improvements and growth in networks allowed the consumer to drive change into the market. Then social networks and social network technology encouraged the spread of consumer and business use of the technology. Putting technology into the hands of consumers is driving the rate and size of disruptions.

The challenge for the market and the supply chain is the identification of important and key disruptions, in other words what disruption will have legs that allow the disruption to grow and expand in usage. Unfortunately, there is really no way to determine the winners and losers and so the supply chain must act on all. This is where social networks and collaboration really show their value. Social networks provide the means to sense the disruption and measure the speed of growth along with clarification of the disruption. Collaboration and collaborative development allow the supply chain to respond and react to the disruption.

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Retail Renewal

The retail market is in a process of renewal as a result of the disruption brought about by the omni market change by consumers to the marketplace. This is a good thing and a necessary thing that drives the market forward to support consumer demands. This time though the renewal is in part driven by consumers through technology and collaboration and in part driven by consumer focused Internet retailers like Amazon that are themselves encouraging and experimenting with consumer changing demands. I believe though that this renewal cycle is different from previous cycles in that the renewal will be a continuous cycle of disruption and renewal in the market. This is the key theme coming through in this cycle of renewal and this is one of the key differences i this new cycle from previous market cycles.

During the market renew driven by eCommerce and essentially lead by Amazon there was a theme carried through the disruption and the market renewal; the consumer demands to simplify their shopping via the Internet and eCommerce. This theme carried retailers into the next generation of the marketplace to produce and omni channel shopping experience. This was comforting to the market players as well because it was a proven direction that they could copy to produce results. The challenge to this cycle in the marketplace is that there is no common theme that carries through each example of disruption and renewal.

There is no visible common theme that can be reproduced for success, the success of one retailer cannot simply be reproduced by others. There are two key differences in the current cycle of disruption:


There is no common thread of success in the market. At odds with previous cycles of market disruption and change; the success from one cannot be copied by another. One retailer thrives and grows because of the strength of their brick and mortar outlets while another succeeds because of their online presence.


The disruption comes in a discontinuous cycle that does not give the market a chance to really settle. This presents a struggle to maintain the pace of the change and also does not allow for the response to be duplicated for across the market. Almost as soon as a disrupting force is recognized and addressed the next disruption is sweeping the market

This cycle of disruption is driven by consumers rather than by some retailer, as in the past and this is a very important difference in this disruption cycle. The last major disruption to the market in my opinion was the explosion of Amazon on the market. This disruption, like previous disruptions, was driven by a retailer with a vision that was embraced by consumers. This disruption, also like previous disruptions, spread through the market quickly with the concept, in this case the drive for the lowest price combined with ease of purchase and vast selection, was accepted and extended by other retailers until it seems to be embedded in the market DNA. This disruption is also in many ways at the root of the current disruption.

This current disruption started with the concept and the drive for the selection, price and ease of shopping. In the beginning, consumers' focus on low price was supported and driven by the opportunity of Internet retailers to cut prices. This was the result of retailers reacting to consumers and these same retailers attempting to gain market share. This drive from Internet retailers was borne of the drive to succeed and the ability of these new Internet retailers to take advantage of the market and cut costs dramatically because of their reduced overhead. Now this lowest price concept and drive has become the foundation of the retail market in many ways has also in many ways now bitten the creator of the concept.

Now the combination of technology and the growing ability of the consumer to direct and even change their shopping is also disrupting the market in a series of discontinuous changes that are driven by the imagination and the demands of the consumer. Now this new renewal is all about the consumer ability redirect and direct their shopping in ways that support their individual lifestyles along with their desire to spend less and get more in return. This new discontinuos disruption cycle also is creating a model for continuous renewal with technology providing the means and consumer lifestyle demands providing the direction.



This new market driven by continuous disruption requires each participant in the market to sense and respond to the disruption in a manner that is based on their own imagination and capabilities. This is the change that is impacting the market in the greatest manner because in previous cycles there was always time to confirm the most effective response and then this response would be reproduced by others. Now when the most effective response for a particular retailer is identified the market has already entered the next disruption cycle which changes the success factors. Retailers must change their culture then in order to succeed in this discontinuous disruption cycle.

Saturday, November 9, 2019

Disruption Driving Transformation Of The Supply Chain

 

Disruption displaces an existing market or industry to produce something new and more efficient and worthwhile. It is at once destructive and creative. Disruption in the marketplace is driving a transformation of the supply chain into a more efficient and flexible framework that can support the continuous disrupting forces. This transformation of the supply chain is driven not only by reaction to disrupting forces in the marketplace but also from the enabling technologies developing at a breakneck pace.

Historically, supply chain disruption has been described as a major break down in production or distribution nodes that comprise a supply chain. This definition of disruption implies an event within the supply chain that interrupts the normal process and flow that must be overcome to return to the pre-event state. However, technologies, especially eCommerce technology, coupled with improvements in network capabilities that are driven by consumer lifestyle demands have redefined disruption into a break that will never return to the pre-disruption normal, the disruption creates a new normal.

This process of recovery into a new normal is what makes up innovation and new capabilities for the market. Rather than a recovery to the pre-disruption state, the disruption produces a recognition of a need for innovation and change based on the market demands for innovation in the process. Disruptive innovations tend to be produced by outsiders and entrepreneurs in startups, rather than existing companies. This innovation cycle is now driven by consumer lifestyle demands colliding with the existing market practices creating an innovation cycle. This innovation cycle disrupted the continuous improvement cycled to a continuous innovation cycle and the market leaders recognized and adjusted to the change.

Currently, the waves of innovation in the market are driven by supply chain participants recognizing and developing features and functionality designed to meet customer expectations, partner needs and financial requirements. Supply chain disruption is the repurposing and realigning of existing capabilities to support changing consumer lifestyle demands. Then, just for good measure, the great disruptors add new supply chain capabilities to enhance the innovation.

The best change agents in the extended supply chain implement these features and functionality before the consumer recognizes the need. This drive to experiment based on sensing a market shift that creates the demand for goods and services is the actual driving force of disruptive innovation in the market. Disruptive innovation in the supply chain is a leading influence in remaking the market to meet consumer demands. Consumer demands are being driving at an enormous speed and this velocity of change requires robust tools and practices to react. I believe the supply chain is particularly ready and capable to develop these required tools and capabilities because of history of disruption within the supply chain.

Shifting demands from all corners of the market—ranging from product and consumer services to supply chain partners—contribute to supply chain disruption and in turn are driving innovation in the supply chain as a reaction. Consumers as the ‘Great Disruptor’ in the marketplace and are driving the supply chain to innovate in capabilities and flexibility in order to react to the disruption. The supply chain innovators are driven by a spirit of experimentation that in turn allows them to innovate in the face of the discontinuous disruption. The best of the innovators incorporate the continuous improvement (PDCA - Plan, Do, Check, Act) practice to support the innovation cycles driven by the disruption.

This transformation will only increase in speed as disruption drives new disruption. We have entered an age of disruptive transformation driven by the demands of the market that is no longer accepting the status quo. In order to survive in the age of disruptive transformation the market partners must also embrace a practice of experimentation based on flexibility.

Saturday, August 24, 2019

Market Technology Transformation





Disruption in the market is now being driven to a very large extent by technology and this technology transformation is being led by the demands on the supply chain from consumers on the market. In all aspects of the market we are seeing a transformation that is being driven by the changing lifestyles of consumers. These changing lifestyles are, to a very large extent, enabled by technology that is available to consumers in every aspect of their daily activities. Consumers have embraced technology in every aspect of their daily activities and the impact on their lifestyle has been dramatic in the opportunities to meet their changing demands. This presents a challenge to the extended supply chain partners to support the market transformation that is driven by changing technology.

The most obvious example of technology that has dramatically impacted consumer lifestyles is the smartphone. Consumers have embraced the smartphone in every aspect of their daily activities to enable them to meet their changing lifestyle. These demands have transformed the methods in which they communicate, shop, pay bills and share experiences. The smartphone, in combination with improvements in wireless network technologies, are key factors in the market transformation and this transformation is only increasing in velocity. I know in my own activities that this technology has transformed my ability to meet the daily demands of family and career to allow me to blur the line between all activities; I can shop any time and then plan for delivery to meet the immediate demands, I am available for response any time the need arises whether personal or work related and the technology allows me to react based on the demand.

Technology has become pervasive across all activities and this has transformed the consumer market into an expectation of 24/7 shopping and delivery to meet the demands at the time. These demands have required the transformation of the extended supply chain to quickly and efficiently address the demands first and foremost. Most importantly this has required the transformation of the extended supply chain to develop the methods and processes to quickly and efficiently sense and respond to the changes. The transformation requires not only efficient response to new demands but experimentation with capabilities to create new consumer demands. The velocity of transformation has reached a level where the ability to react to demands is not enough to maintain share in the market participants must anticipate demand before consumers realize in order to maintain share.

Experimentation can be frustrating because of the potential for mistakes and failures. However, the market is changing at such a velocity that there is no choice but to experiment with creating future demands. This is especially difficult in the retail market because the culture and accepted practice is at odds with leading edge experimentation. We are seeing now though especially with Amazon and niche eCommerce retailers the rise of experimentation as a key capability. This transformation has dramatically impacted large legacy retailers causing failures and a struggle to keep up with the changes. The market is now seeing early signs of leading retailers such as Target or Walmart finally transforming their practices to leverage the multi-channel marketplace to transform their business.

Change has been supercharged into transformation and consumers are driving the retail market into continuous transformation that requires new methods and processes to anticipate demand rather than react to the demands. These processes must support faster and more flexible adjustments that are driving continuous transformation of the market. We have reached a point with technology where the speed of change requires anticipating and adjustments rather than sense and respond. This will further shake out the market and drive transformation in the supply chain.

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Collaboration In Time Of Disruption





I see conversational commerce as a major disrupter coming to the retail marketplace and while the retailers that have been focused on AI and data analysis will be the retailers that are best prepared sense and respond to the changing demands of the market, there is also no question in my mind that collaboration is critical to the ability to execute on the demands. Collaboration will increase in importance in the future markets because there is no way that a single partner can respond to all of the changing demands of the consumer. The extended supply chain is probably the key to the success of supporting the market demands. These demands can only be met through a robust collaborative network in the extended supply chain.




The extended supply chain is in a unique position in this disruption because of the previous work building a collaborative network that supports the ability to sense and respond to the changing demands in a global marketplace. This experience has forced the extended supply chain network to develop a strong collaborative network of partners that support the demands and provide a connected network of partners that provide point solutions to meet the demands. This is the ‘secret sauce’ of the supply chain collaborative network. This collaborative network provides the framework for point solution providers to flourish because the connectivity framework is already available for the solution providers to market and deliver services. This was an unintended benefit from the work to develop a robust collaborative network; the framework to support share support of the global supply chain demands and encourage point solution development to rapidly deliver solutions to the partners.




The disruption of the global market demands was a precursor in the extended supply chain to the disruption the retail marketplace is beginning to experience now. This disruption will roll through the retail marketplace in a manner similar to the global marketplace disruption on the extended supply chain and the smart players in the marketplace will be incorporating the lessons learned from the global market disruption to build a collaborative network that supports the speed of change necessary to meet the demands. This means embracing network capabilities that encourage and support the point solution model developed in the supply chain. I believe this is the single most important key to supporting and even encouraging the disruption in the retail marketplace.
Disruption is not a point that impacts only the retail market or only the extended supply chain.  Disruption is a cumulative effect that builds on past change and disruption to redefine the market and I believe that we have reached a ‘perfect storm’ point in time where the demands and expectations of consumers, and market partners are being driven by technology and the converging of technology capabilities, embrace of the capabilities and lifestyle demands imagination of consumers and market partners to build a new marketplace that eliminates channels and the lines between channels to produce a new marketplace. 

Friday, May 3, 2019

Supply Chain In Retail Disruption





The retail market disruption is being driven and supported to a very large extent by the capabilities and services supported by the extended supply chain. The long list of recent changes and demands on the retail market are implementations of supply chain services to support the demands of the consumer in remaking the retail market into an omni market that supports the varied demands of the consumer shopping and purchasing. The demands for goods from consumers has remained in the same pattern over time where the consumer fashion and hardgoods have remained relatively constant, colors may change or styles might change but these products have remained relatively constant. While appliance features have changed as a result of technology advancements, the microwave, the washer, the dryer have all remained relatively constant. The shopping and purchasing demands have, by and large, driven the disruption through the market though with new services to support consumer lifestyles.





The supply chain places a great deal of focus and dependence on technology to support and develop new services and one of the most important aspects of supporting and delivery of new services is the collaborative supply chain network. The supply chain extended network is a model of collaboration and the practices and services required to sense and respond to the changing demands of the market. This is evident in the network support of point solutions and collaboration to coordinate services and activities throughout the supply chain from the point of raw material forecast and delivery to the manufacturing plant to the point of deliver to the end customer. The supply chain has developed these capabilities to support a global services and delivery network that must quickly and efficiently react to changing conditions across this global network that cannot necessarily be planned in the beginning of the chain. Without the strong extended collaborative network that support quick and efficient flow of goods and services to support the flow the retail market would not be possible.





Now retailers must realize and accept the forces in the marketplace and collaborate more effectively and robustly with the extended supply chain to not only support their customers’ demands for goods but also to understand and embrace the collaborative network concepts and framework to help sense and respond to the demands a of the market. The supply chain network and partners realized a long time ago that they are not islands and they require the support of the network in order to meet the demands of the market. It is now time for retailers to also come this realization and make the moves to enable their participation in the extended network.

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Omni Market Culture





The disruption currently sweeping through the retail marketplace must be met with both sweeping and continuous process change and also sweeping culture changes from the retailers to meet the increasing velocity of change. The scope and breadth of change in the marketplace have reached a level where change in process cannot hope to meet the demands. The culture must change now to commit the resources and focus to increase collaboration and sharing not only between the retailer and extended partners but also with all participants in the marketplace and especially consumers of the market goods and services. Consumers have always participated in the marketplace in a reactionary mode with shopping and purchasing and now these consumers are becoming an integrated partner in the retail marketplace demanding new interactions and services that can only be met through increased collaboration.




Communications and interactions across the marketplace have eliminated the lines between social networks and personal interactions and as these changes increase in velocity and scope across the marketplace there will be more and more pressure placed on the culture to support and adapt to the change. Marketplace disruption is driven to a large extent by communications and interactions across channels, participants, goods and services. This is significant because it is such a divergence from the past. The interactions between all market participants is required to increase dramatically now in order to support the demands of shopping and interactions across all channels. The lines between the online and the brick and mortar realms are being smashed now by consumer demands and the retailers are scrambling to catch up.




The sooner the retailer accepts this new reality the sooner they can begin the change. Since this requires a change in culture it cannot be purchased and must be built internally starting with continuous encouragement from the top leadership to build and grow the culture from the bottom. This is the most difficult type of change to implement because it is a long term initiative that cannot be purchased and the marketplace is filled with short term demands for change. The trick then for the retailers is to accept the fact of the collaboration requirement that carries through each of the demands and then to engage, encourage and develop the culture that supports these demands for collaboration.




The collaborative culture will help the retailers and partners across the marketplace sense and respond to the demands of the marketplace because they will be plugged into the channels that are developing and changing the demands. This is a major change to the ways that the marketplace participants engage and most importantly, the key participants driving the change, consumers, are driving these changes through the social networking and wireless technology tools already available. There is really no choice now for retailers but to engage and focus on the culture that will support the new collaborative demands and interactions from so many different tools. The signs and are now visible across the market and leaders such as Amazon are engaging in all channels to understand and respond to the demands. Large retailers that do not accept and respond to these new types of demands will be left behind and struggle to survive.

Friday, April 12, 2019

Omni Market Supply Chain





The omni market renewal is a massive undertaking that will span years and will in all reality probably not end and the extended supply chain plays a major role in the success of the renewal. As a result of the market renewal, the extended supply chain is also experiencing and in turn also being driven by the same disruption renewal in the retail marketplace. The extended supply chain began to recognize and take actions much earlier in the cycle than the key retailers because to a very large extend the extended supply chain and partners experienced a major market disruption a result of the great recession and this disruption forced the supply chain partners to address extreme pressure on costs and capabilities with similar impact as the disruption currently being experienced in the retail marketplace.




I think the leaders in retail disruption and renewal have long recognized the importance of their extended supply chain in supporting demands and they have shown their understanding through their focus on working with their supply chain to incorporate new capabilities. As example, the key retail players in this current disruption and renewal cycle, Amazon and Walmart, have both been early adopters of supply chain services and capabilities and have shown their recognition of the potential of a robust collaborative extended supply chain. Their demonstration of this understanding has come across as a focus on the automation that can improve throughput and costs and most importantly efficiencies. Early on efficiencies in supply chain execution were a key focus and these were critical to support the retail model in a global supply chain.




Now we have entered into a time where the retail marketplace is highly dependant on their supply chain to support the consumer selection and delivery demands and the supply chain has stepped up in many imaginative ways to address these challenges. This extended supply chain is able to now only support these demands but also develop and implement new solutions to simplify the process and they are able to do all of this because of their historical drive to manage costs, and improve services. The extended supply chain partners may be uniquely positioned to provide guidance and support to their retail partners to help guide through the challenges and demands of changing a culture while flying at 800 miles an hour.




The solution and means to meeting the marketplace disruption are rooted in collaboration and partnerships. This requires an extended focus on changing the culture of both organizations and the market. The market culture really starts with the consumer and consumers now are driving the disruption through technology tools and services available to them and most importantly these tools and services are continuously changing and improving as well to provide new capabilities and combinations to consumers. We have seen that consumers can be impatient in their demands and require a continuous interaction and reactions from all retail marketplace partners to sense and respond to the demands.

Friday, April 5, 2019

Retail Renewal





Spring brings a sense of renewal and the current disrupting forces in the retail marketplace should be viewed as a type of retail spring renewal. Rather than a focus on cutting and reducing expense as a reaction to this disruption retailers should be looking at a renewal of the marketplace into an image and ability to efficiently and effectively support the changing demands of the consumer lifestyle in shopping and purchasing demands. Renewal provides an image of positive change and improvement to deliver on the imagination of the marketplace and this image is important to foster and encourage as opposed disruption that brings the image of cuts and reductions to address a downturn is sales. It is important to view and engage as an opportunity to grow rather than a requirement to cut and wait for some magical upturn in sales to appear.




There is a wide variety of purchasing capabilities that can be utilized to support the consumer lifestyle that have been developed over the years and there does not seem to be a limiting factor from the purchase capabilities. The limiting factor seems to be the transparency and combinations of shopping and purchasing and delivery capabilities available to the consumer from all channels in a true omni market view. This is where the retail disruption, or renewal, is focused and this is the key challenge to the larger retailers. These large retailers must overcome their natural tendency to fall back into the reaction methods from the past. They must overcome their reaction to reduce costs when faced with a downturn and must instead focus on the renew and an analysis to determine the reason for the downturn and then how to react to the downturn to recover the sales. This reaction spells the difference between success and failure in this new retail marketplace.




I saw a report that for the first time online sales have surpassed in store, brick and mortar, sales. This would seem to add weight to the retail marketplace disruption that should be driving renewal activities in the larger retailers. This news should be a little intimidating to retailers because it confirms the forecasts and the direction that has been assumed by many for a while. You could see the coming changes with the large players working to blur the lines between channels to support the omnimarket capabilities that are now coming together. You could also see the coming changes with the extended supply chain service offerings and especially in the drive to simplify the delivery based on the consumer lifestyle.




I see the differences coming together now in many ways and one of the ways is manner in which Amazon is experimenting with omnimarket retail. Amazon is playing their brand across channels and retail market segments to bring a shopping and purchasing experience that focuses on meeting consumer needs across product commodity. This is important and the only other american retailer with a similar type of market coverage would be Walmart and Walmart has been focused on growth in omnimarket to meet the Amazon challenge.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

Collaboration Officer





Collaboration has become increasingly important over the years and this importance and increased in depth and breadth of collaboration partners and activities to the point where it is important to create the role of a Collaboration Officer to ensure the necessary focus within the organization. At this point collaboration coordination and activities are much too important to leave to the individual participants and requires a focused and coordinated strategy for both internal and external partners. The marketplace and demands are changing at such a velocity now that no single participant in the market can hope to support all of the demands, driving the types and volume of collaboration activities across the market in order to deliver and maintain new capabilities and services at a rate that supports the demands.




Collaboration as a concept has been in vogue for a very long time and it's been one of those concepts that everyone agrees on the importance while at the same time being challenged in living the concept. Many have talked the talk and found it difficult to walk the walk because collaboration, at least in my opinion, requires a partners to give up some control and this can be very difficult for some leaders. Control for many leaders has been key competency and allowed them to build the concept and brand that has been successful. Now, however, while the concept has not lost importance the implementation of the concept requires flexibility and collaboration to deliver.




I see a cycle in the maturity and success trajectory where the initial concept development requires a focus on the development that is driven by the leader to deliver on the concept. This cycle continues while the concept take hold to ensure the vision is maintained and the concept gains acceptance and traction in the marketplace. This changes though relatively quickly though after a wider acceptance though to require collaboration and new partnerships to retain the success trajectory and also ensure the continued growth of the concept. This change requires a shift in focus to partnership and collaboration and most importantly a shift to a shared success plan utilizing increased collaboration and partnership to continue the success trajectory. You see this type of collaboration and partnership in small businesses and support of the small businesses with a good example being the American Express initiative to support small and local businesses.




This is much different though for the large retailers and legacy partners where they must focus on change to meet the new demands. These entities must out of necessity focus on the collaboration and partnership concepts to maintain their own success trajectory. This is important because these retailers must realize they must sense and respond to support the changing demands on their offerings, shopping and purchasing practices which requires increased and robust collaboration with partners to meet the demands.




The retailers must pivot the majority of their focus on collaboration and partnerships and must build the capabilities utilizing these practices to develop new products in order to maintain their success trajectory. These retailers would do well to support a concept and type of skunk works that encourages and feeds new programs, products and capabilities in a lab type environment that allows and encourages failure in a manner that supports a concept delivery cycle. The large retailers have wasted a massive head start in both creativity and building the delivery cycle by focusing on reductions rather than identification of the next big thing.

Sunday, March 24, 2019

Disruption Culture





The disruption roaring through the marketplace now requires imagination, flexibility and a culture that does not freeze or shrink from the change driving the disruption. This disruption culture requires a willingness and encouragement to experiment and fail while reacting to the change in the marketplace. The key to success in the disruption is the imagination to experiment with new ideas and processes to meet the demands of the marketplace with a goal of creating the disruption in the marketplace. Disruption seems to be the norm, or at least it the changes are greater and increasing in frequency, requiring reactions from the marketplace in order to maintain their place. In the past retailers could wait for the change to solidify before reacting and now they cannot afford to wait for the change to solidify before the next wave of change.




Disruption is identified later in time when the changes have increased in velocity and impact resulting in a broad spectrum change that impacts the marketplace and changes it forever. In other words, disruption is identified when you realize the impact to the marketplace. This is also why it is so important for each participant in the marketplace to react and support the changes in their field. If any one or two of the participants do not support the change they run the very real risk of being left out of the marketplace. In my opinion, this lack of supporting market changes is the key factor for the retail market failures of some of the major retailers recently.




The retail marketplace is now in a time of discontinuous and disruptive change and the only way for the market to react is to develop and encourage a culture of change that embraces and encourages the changes that disrupt the marketplace. That is why it is so important for retailers and the supply chain partners to create a disruption culture that is guided by change and more importantly embraces the change and the resulting disruption. This is not an easy lift because requires the largest partners with the most to lose to be the leaders in the change.




The secret of Amazon and Google and Facebook is that they have developed a disruption culture that searches out change that can disrupt the marketplace and they use this as a way to get ahead of their competition. We have seen this over and over where an upstart enters the market with a new idea and this idea catches fire with the consumer and before you realize it they have disrupted the market and leave the competition behind. This is the point though where especially the largest retailers must focus their resources on sensing and responding to the change. They must realize that they are under attack from the market and the competition and they cannot reduce spending to address the issue, they must refocus their investments on the tools and the culture that will allow them to sense and respond to the changes.

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Preparing For Disruption





Disruption is defined as a break or interruption in the normal course or continuation of some activity or process and so you would also assume that this disruption is caused by some time of surprise, unplanned, event that causes the interruption. Then by this definition it is very difficult to plan for disruption, however you can prepare for a disruption by developing flexibility and improved sensory tools to quickly react to the disruption. The challenge then is; how do you prepare for a surprise or unplanned event? Considering the worst case result of the disruption, though it is one of the most important activities for any business and especially for the retail marketplace and the partners and infrastructure supporting the retail marketplace. In short somehow preparing for disruption is at least as important and should receive the same focus and effort as sales forecast and product development.




I say this because disruption by its very definition cannot be planned and as a result there is no way to forecast how or when the disruption will materialize. So the disruption can be in products or sales channel or even marketplace and the disruption ripples across a large number of participants and even other marketplaces impacting process and activities in its wake. We have reached a point though in technologies supporting the marketplace activities and processes that has dramatically increased the partner flexibility capabilities along with the analysis and forecast capabilities that can be incorporated to support the sensory early identification of potential disruptions and allow the partners in the marketplace to quickly adjust in a manner that allows them to react to the disruption and address the interruption.




The focus in the retail marketplace must be on sensing or even creating the next market disruption. This can be achieved through robust collaboration and data analytics. The key though, in my opinion, is the sense potential change and move to react and take advantage of the change. In order to succeed in the response to change the partners must embrace failure and understand that the only way to meet the challenge is through a continuous improvement process of plan, do, check, act, or, trial and error. This process must increase in velocity though in order to reduce the reaction and action timing. The goal of this process is to not just improve the ability and the speed of reaction but to actually help to disrupt the marketplace base on the reactions of the consumers. This, in effect, has been the path taken by Amazon in their market disruption over the years, Amazon has recognized signs from consumers and taken action to react and support the consumer demands.




Unfortunately this is a culture change in addition to the change in process and the culture change will be the most difficult to install. It will require a continuous focus and engagement from all levels and all partners in the marketplace to succeed. However, there really is no other option and the sooner this is realized and embraced, the sooner the disruption will be understood and embraced.