Next Wave For Retail

The next wave for the retail marketplace is the convergence of the internal business networks that include the supply chain partners and the external social network that includes consumers and the variety of social network sites and connections. The consumer is driving this convergence through their use of network services and connectivity as they are building their own network of connections for services and goods along with their connections. The objective for this consumer network services convergence is to connect in their own personal network both retailers and their extended supply chain partners such as transportations services and manufacturers to build a cohesive and service based network to support their own needs. This extended consumer network of services and computing capabilities, especially mobile capabilities, have given the consumer the tools to build their own social commerce network. Many service providers have recognized this and have developed new services that allow the consumer to create their own personalized shopping and purchasing capabilities. Considering the growth and value to the consumer of these social commerce network services I really do not see this trend slowing are expect quite the opposite.

There are two things bringing this together;
- The first is the computing and network capabilities,
- The second is new service providers taking advantage of these changes.

A big part of this next wave is how retailers and service providers utilize localized and personalized services in their practices. These services will provide the secret sauce that will fuel the next wave of retail. This has been growing for a while now through experimentation from both consumer experimentation and service providers. You can also see that some retailers have embraced the wave and are working towards developing the market in this direction.

I see the key aspect to the next wave as the localization of services and especially as it relates to interactions with consumers which in turn will drive the personalization that can grow as a result of the localization. Consumers have been using social networks and technologies for a while now to develop their own virtual shopping practices and even virtual shopping malls of their favorite retailers. They are using the services that are available from mobile app developers and now Google has jumped into the localization with both feet to provide consumer capabilities to search and shop based on their current location and even their destination location.

The Google developments and offerings they are providing through Maps alone will drive the localization of eCommerce to new levels. Retailers, restaurants and entertainment are offered and consumers are providing the personalized evaluations, ratings and recommendations on goods and services. Consumers are already tapping into these services in their shopping and travel decisions and retailers must recognize this and then take actions to incorporate the capabilities into their plans, services and offerings. Google is commercializing these services to expand their apps and services further into the lives of consumers and retailers and other service providers have a great reason to embrace these capabilities in their offerings to support their own sales and services.

Fortunately for retailers and service providers Google, for one, is providing the framework for localization that can be utilized by retailers and they are happy to provide this framework for others because it extends the Google brand and the data Google is able to obtain from this framework. This is an important benefit that should also push retailers into this next wave; the amount of customer data available as a result of this localization and personalization can be immensely valuable to retailers.

What are your observations and experience in this social commerce network? Are you seeing any impact or changes to consumer demands that can be related to these changes?

Tom Brouillette

Contact: Tom.brouillette@gmail.com

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply chain network digitization has become a  key factor in supply chain resilience with the need driven in large part by VUCA resulting in waves of disruption across markets.   The number of companies seeking approaches to measure and benchmark their digital infrastructure and processes is growing as a result. In order to achieve the improvements necessary to support the demand it is important to incorporate tools that can assess, and perhaps most importantly, monitor the benefits and challenges resulting from the digitization process itself.  This is another variation on a continuous improvement program and requires the same methods and practices to achieve the digitization objectives and benefits.  It is important to review and validate modifications because of the relationships between multiple digitization initiatives and their combined benefits and challenges.  

Kearney’s Resilience Stress Test “Strategic Options To Build Resilience”, assesses supply chain resilience outside of the common disaster scenario capability and capacity planning to be able to rapidly flex, or repurpose, assets, across your extended supply chain network to be able to respond to unanticipated supply shocks, such as trade wars, major weather events, or permanent shifts in demand.  The dimensions of this stress test framework include: geography; planning; suppliers; inbound transportation; manufacturing; outbound distribution; product portfolio and platform; and financial/working capital.

In order to be successful the framework monitoring must be spread widely across all supply network points, and processes, as well as those of suppliers and partners, initially starting with critical processes and partners, with a focus on measuring the degree of digitalization and capabilities in each of these factors. These digitization capabilities and processes include using IoT sensors in logistics or fulfilment operations, robotic process automation in production or distribution, and analytics and machine learning in production centers, inventory management, and financial capital management.  As a starting point, the initial evaluation provides the baseline that should be used to monitor and measure progress and must be developed to support monitoring across your extended supply network.

This is where automated control tower software can and should be utilized to support a process that will continuously monitor the network.  Ideally, this control tower solution would be capable of alerts and even prescribe how to resolve issues as well as actually resolving issues automatically as they occur.  The challenge in the extended supply chain network is caused by the velocity of disruption experienced across your network.  These disruptions can occur with such speed and spread across your network partners that it becomes impossible to perform the necessary analysis and adjustments to react and address the disruption in a timely manner.  It is not enough to identify after the fact because of the potential damage to your business.  The velocity of the disruption and the potential impact requires immediate response and this can be achieved by a robust software solution that spans the supply chain network.

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tom.brouillette@gmail.com

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'

Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Digital Transformation Starts With You and I

 

Digital transformation starts with your own personal commitment to digitize your personal and professional data to eliminate paper. This is important first to show your commitment to ‘walk-the-walk’ and second to help you to experience both the benefits and challenges from the digital transformation. I have personally committed to digital transformation for all of the reasons expressed for your business and market transformation, however the key reason for me is the ease of maintaining my personal records.  The first time that you quickly find an electronic receipt or a reference to a business question that was discussed in a meeting a month ago will turn you into a convert! 

Look at one example; the My Lowes customer account.  This is not a typical rewards card, or account,  because you do not receive discounts or accumulate points for rewards.  What it does provide though is a digital record of all your purchases and most importantly purchase details for future ease of reference.  A couple of examples of the benefits I've realized are elimination for a need to maintain receipts for returns and ability to purchase the same paint tint for a repair after I've disposed of any physical record and the most valuable example for me is the ability to return products without receipt.  Don’t get me wrong, rewards are an important feature of store loyalty programs, I think that these features provided by the Lowe’s program provide a pretty compelling encouragement to join.

A major challenge to any digital transformation initiative is the start-up effort to build out the framework and foundation of infrastructure to support the transformation.  Any transformation is difficult and the initial start-up must provide a reason and incentive to commit to starting the journey.  Digital transformation, whether personal or professional, is no different and requires the commitment to work through the initial challenges in order to benefit from the improved capabilities.  A personal commitment to digital transformation provides the basis and background for you to evangelize a professional business transformation.   

Fortunately for this movement, the tools currently available, along with the personal experience and acceptance of the digital age delivered by personal computing tools make the commitment a little more palatable.  This is a good thing for business digital transformation because it encourages people to question ‘why not’ and push for business digital transformation.  Every major successful transformation in my memory was driven in large part by the consumer interest and pushing business to change.  It really comes down to expanding and providing the average consumer the encouragement and incentive to embrace the change, once this initial hurdle is overcome the next step is business transformation.

We are at a crossroad now in the digital transformation journey.  Consumers are now embracing the tools and technology provided for personal use and opportunity.  I know that my own personal use of these new tools has dramatically increased as new capabilities have increased to the point where I too am pushing to extend transformation in my business activities.  The pandemic lock-down has also added to my push as I increased digital and video interactions in my work. 

The decision and action points are all converging into an increasing wave of disruption in the market.  The opportunity now is for us in business to embrace and encourage the embrace of these capabilities.  It is important now to review and revise your business strategy to support and implement a resilient and flexible framework that can respond quickly to the changes.  Do not make the mistake in thinking that you have time to respond to these changes!

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'

Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

RPA As Transitional Bridge To Digital Transformation

Digital transformation is a wide ranging and disruptive strategy that realistically will take years. This strategy will also define the framework that will regularly and continuously replace technology tools based on the changing demands and continuous waves of disruption in the market. You must accept and support this concept in order to be successful in developing a resilient supply chain that is capable of suppurting these transformation efforts. You must accept that there will always be strategic digital transformation initiatives that will focus on areas of greatest return in value. Maybe most importantly, this does not mean that you can afford to only focus on a small number of areas because you will be left behind in the dust of market disruptions.


This means that you must develop a method that will allow you to ‘bridge’ the gap between your current legacy technologies and new technologies that result from market and consumer disruption. One very robust method to bridge the gap is RPA because RPA technologies will allow you to automate processes through the use of technology tools that ‘bolt on’ integration and work flow management capabilities to legacy technologies. There are many examples of these capabilities that bring great value very quickly to your business that will allow you to focus on other strategic initiatives.


I think of RPA as a key tool in your continuous improvement process that will allow you to quickly and efficiently prove out your automation initiatives and strategy. We can no longer afford large initiatives of wholesale change and hope they meet the initiative objectives. We must have a way to prove out the process quickly and RPA provides the tool to support a more resilient and flexible supply chain.


I hear many people stating that RPA is ‘just’ a new and updated method of the old screen-scraper technology from the 90’s in an effort to detract from the technology and encourage the focus on what they feel a better long term capabilities. I am afraid that this focus on the ‘perfect’ will delay the ‘good’ of value delivered quickly through RPA. This strategy is a recipe for failure in these times of continuously changing demands and waves of market disruption. The best course is a focus on resilience and flexibility to sense and respond quickly to the disruption.


My feeling regarding this view is that we do not have time to only focus on the perfect because, quite frankly, perfection will never be achieved. There will always be the new market or customer demand, the new technology, the new application, the new business process that will require inclusion in your strategy and your operation. The focus on perfection will lead to a business failure to meet the demands of your customer and this failure will cause you to lose customers.


Instead, focus on speed of delivery using bridge technology that will allow you to prove the concept prior to a large investment. This is the space where RPA will shine and you can move your business forward while implementing a more long term solution. The first step then is to define your resilience strategy that identifies your weakness in resilience and then use this information to select and utilize a robust RPA tool.


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Digital Transformation Thoughts

 

Digital transformation requires significant support from the C-Suite to ensure success.  Initiative must be lead and encouraged by C-Suite and especially CEO.  Key to remember is this is a huge change management program that will change the way the company and organization works.  This makes it critically important for CEO to display, publicly and privately, support for the program.  

C-Suite must provide resources, people and funding, to ensure success.  This must not be a 'skunk works' initiative because of the signigicance and requirement for the entire organization to be aligned and moving together.  There is a great deal of work to be done and there will be changes, and risks, along the way that must be addressed and these can only really be addressed with the support of senior management.  

This is a long-term program that requires continued support and focus in order to succeed.  This will require a robust plan and management focus in order to succeed.  This is not an program that can, or should, be delivered as a big-bang.  Digital Transformation is a discovery process that will re-invent your business and as such requires experimentation and trial and error practices to validate the tools and processes involved in the transformation. The transformation will succeed by following a continuous improvement model of PDCA (Plan, Do, Check, Act) that supports experimentation and quick adjustments to ensure the feedback is incorporated quickly.

Digital transformation will require a transition to new processes, capabilities and software, some of which will be invented as part of the transformation.  This is a significant business and market disruption program that will grow and solidify as a result of waves of change and disruption.  This requires a tool that can support quick prototype experimentation to validate concepts.  This is where Robotic Process Automation (RPA) tools come into play for a significant role in the success of your program.

RPA tools provide a means to build new connections and process across multiple platforms and technology to eliminate non-value add processes and procedures.  Digital transformation is essentially the most significant Lean program that the market will take on and this requires high level encouragement and support for the business and organization to embrace.  RPA tools can provide the bridge from current business as usual to Digital Transformation.

Next big question is how can you initiate this program to increase the likelihood of success?  How can a strong and experienced supply chain consulting partner help you to build the plan that can help to ensure success?

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'

Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Digital Enablement

  

We have reached a tipping point in the market relating to digital enablement and transformation that is fueled by the COVID-19 pandemic and recovery efforts. This has been a long time coming and the market was moving in this direction very slowly prior to the pandemic, in large part I believe because of market infrastructure (especially brick and mortar real estate), retailer culture (waiting for widespread acceptance to work out the bugs) and the consumers using shopping as a physical social exercise engaged in malls. Consumers quickly recognized and embraced the benefits of digital enablement in large part as a result of the necessity to adjust to the pandemic and these same consumers are now dragging retailers and the market to deliver on digital enablement.

The market is currently fragmented in both priority and direction of this enablement while at the same time struggling to react and recover from the pandemic. This disruption has produced a multi-prong disruption that has been extremely difficult for some retailers to react to and their reactions to these disruptions in many ways are spawning new disruptions. These disruptions are driven by the legacy retail market culture that has never really reconciled their practices with the increasing consumer embrace of digital enablement and the resulting market demands. In the past, large retailers have been very hesitant of the ‘bleeding edge’ technology and practices. This ingrained culture of the legacy retail leadership has now impeded their ability to respond effectively and efficiently to the mounting demands of the pandemic recovery, consumer demands and most importantly the resulting disruption and re-making of the retail market.

The change and disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic has pushed digital enablement past the tipping point though and this has now suddenly become a key to survival rather than a progressive transition process. Now that this genie is out of the bottle there is no going back. It is now a matter of great urgency to define and implement a digital enablement strategy. Retailers must now take a multi-prong approach to their digital enablement activities in order to react to the multi-prong market disruptions. They must focus on a strategy that first defines and then delivers the digital enablement while also focusing on immediate responses to the waves of disruption driven in many cases from the COVID-19 transition support requirements. This is difficult for all businesses and especially difficult for the legacy retailer that was already struggling with digital enablement before the pandemic.

There are tools that can be utilized to support the digital enablement and transition strategy that support the necessary transition from legacy retail applications and processes. This is where retailers should focus first and foremost on defining the objectives and deliverables. The next step then requires defining the ‘how’ to deliver the objectives and deliverables. The tools should be incorporated to support the two pronged delivery to enable the transition to the new objectives and requirements while also responding to the continuous disruptions that are buffeting the market.

One tool in particular can and should be utilized to support these transition efforts to digital enablement This tool can also help in responding to the significant disruption and unanticipated impact and reaction still occurring in reaction to the pandemic. I believe a key to digital enablement and disruption response is a robust RPA tool that supports automation of test data and test execution. It is very common to hear testing horror stories regarding costs, labor and schedule requirements in the range of 40% of the implementation. These challenges are a huge impediment to the ability to respond and recover from disruptions and critical business improvements concurrently. RPA can deliver dramatic testing automation improvements in both data generation and test scenario execution that will reduce time and effort to deliver.

RPA is by no means a ‘silver bullet’ solution to your business demands. RPA does however provide a significant tool that can enhance and enable current process improvements and optimization as a first step to your digital enablement strategy. The first step now is to develop your RPA strategy based on demands and opportunities - this will guide you through your second step which is tool implementation. One more important point to take into account, is the benefits of working with an experienced partner to help and guide you in your strategy development and tool selection process to quickly recover costs.

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'
Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Manage Disruption Through Process Automation

  

In order to manage disruption it is important to focus, focus is the key to success for all strategic initiatives and programs. The challenge then becomes overcoming the day-to-day priorities and challenges that seem to continually interrupt your focus and energy. It seems to me the challenge is to define a process and incorporate tools that allow you to reduce distractions from interruptions and I see the perfect tool for this challenge to be Robotic Process Automation. Process automation capabilities has reached broad acceptance and usage to support mundane tasks in the operation and customer facing activities. This same capability and utilization can also be extremely important in the leadership suite to help maintain focus is a robust Dynamic Risk Sense and Respond program.

A key responsibility of senior leadership in any organization is the development and execution of business strategy. Business strategy is the single most valued role of leadership and two things are continuously fighting to distract leadership from this responsibility:

Most significant is disruption in the business or the market. This year has provided not just several major disruptions but waves of ‘complimentary’ disruptions adding to the impact that are being driven by events from the impact of COVID-19, to environmental disruptions such as fires and now hurricane season.

Distractions to the day to day operation that in many cases are driven by aftershocks from major disruptions. Distractions can be just as impactful to the development and execution of strategies.

We are in times of VUCA and this requires focus and determination to sense and respond to disruption in a cohesive manner that enhances business strategy rather than disrupting the business strategy. The goal of senior leadership during these times must focus on limiting distractions so that leadership can remain focused on the business strategy rather than day to day operation and continuous reaction to distractions. The challenge now is to define and understand the distractions so that a response can be quickly. This is where RPA can help leadership to identify and understand the distraction so that it can be addressed with a predetermined response.

Senior leadership can be overwhelmed by the waves of day-to-day challenges and tasks and especially during the COVID-19 pandemic the related recovery plans and activities. This focus on day-to-day becomes a drain on focus that quickly slows the strategy activities and plans that effect the long term success and survival of companies. Many of these challenges and tasks may drive change into strategic plans and because of this they cannot be ignored, however RPA provides a means to identify events and disruption that may impact strategy and warrant analysis.

RPA would allow the monitoring of these many day-to-day challenges and interruptions using process and analytics for an early warning system to define and even identify potential responses to the daily challenges and priorities. This would allow leadership to maintain a greater focus on the higher value objectives of your Dynamic Risk Sense and Respond program. 

 Additional benefits to a robust RPA plan include:

1. Utilization of a robust RPA program shows senior leadership commitment and support to a program that adds value at all levels
2. Provides the senior leadership team the opportunity to understand, first hand, the potential of RPA
3. Encourage senior leadership team to evangelize RPA initiatives providing personal experience as examples
4. Expansion of business dashboards that support alerts and views based on current events and defined alert levels
5. Promotes ability to focus on value add objectives and strategy

Focus may be one of the most significant benefits of RPA from a business and market perspective. I am beginning to think that one of the best and most efficient ways to demonstrate value is to increase the focus on automating repetitive tasks and activities performed by senior leadership. We see hundreds of examples and discussions on the benefit of automating repetitive processes and tasks from an operational and customer support perspective and I suggest adding senior leadership tasks and activities to this list.

Senior leadership can be overwhelmed by the waves of day-to-day challenges and tasks and especially during the COVID-19 recovery plans and activities. This focus on day-to-day challenges becomes a drain on focus that quickly slows the strategy activities and plans that effect the long term success and survival of companies, or worse lack of focus and review on current strategies risks implementing an incorrect or ineffective strategy. It seems to me that in order for the process automation trends and especially RPA trends to really push to the tipping point requires a commitment at all levels to the capabilities and the benefits of the RPA capabilities. What better way to display understanding and commitment than to incorporate and expand RPA into the executive suite. This is an important capability that could truly change the focus to allow and encourage more forward view.

A successful RPA strategy must focus on the process and must be viewed as a journey in this example of distraction management. This is because it is difficult to define potential distractions and the response automation in many cases requires refinement in order to truly complete the automation. This continuous refinement process however is one of the RPA 'super powers', RPA allows for quick iterative refinement that supports the necessary enhancements to refine response to the challenge and the distractions.

What does this mean and how can it be delivered? As with all initiatives we must start with the 'what' before we determine the 'how'.

This process automation initiative must start with a clear strategy that defines the first most critical deliverables and then as part of the continuous improvement process that is integral to the success of the process automation initiative the next step is to validate the success of the deliverables and second to confirm and refine the process automation strategy for the next steps. The key to the executive suite adoption is to define the business critical success factors and meaningful alerts that will support the business management at the senior executive level.

It is important to follow this process with the executive suite in order to demonstrate the value and the inherent importance of the process automation movement. It is also important from another perspective - to demonstrate the level of commitment from the executive suite to the organization. It seems to me that in order for the process automation trends and especially RPA trends to really push over the tipping point requires a commitment at all levels to the capabilities and the benefits of the RPA capabilities. What better way to display understanding and commitment than to incorporate and expand RPA into the executive suite.

This is an important capability that could truly change the focus to allow and encourage more forward view.


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

There Is No Normal

 

I am concerned about what I see as a strong tendency to return to the status quo rather than learn, and plan, for change as a reaction to the disruption cycles, or waves, that we are currently experiencing.  This is a tendency that I see across the US culture to return to normal when there really is no normal and I would say the normal is actually the continuous cycles of change we have experienced through history..  Its not a new normal, there really is no normal!  

In fact, in looking back you can see that businesses and governments and cultures have struggled to recognize this reality as a requirement move forward and be successful.  In fact, the business world cannot afford to ignore the waves of disruption and address the disruption by attempting to return to a perceived normal.  Maybe that is the point - there is no normal and the sooner we accept this reality, the sooner we can actually move forward and create a process that imagines risk to prepare for the disruption.

We must focus not on implementation and execution of a process that enables the business  reaction and response to continuous waves of disruption.  This process must enable moving from a single stream focus to a multi-stream focus and most importantly the process must be practiced until it becomes second nature.  This is developing a new muscle that is critical to the success of business and the market.  It seems that the majority of people and businesses are so set on returning the pre-pandemic 'normal' that they are overlooking reality and the need to develop methods that can sense and respond.  The telling point, or proof, of this observation is the seemingly never-ending series of black swan events that buffet the global market in waves.  If black swan events occur on a regular basis it means they are not by very definition black swan events.  These are rather the 'new normal' that we must first accept and then embrace and incorporate into our world vision.  

This is difficult, human nature does not want to change and that is the continuous and compelling theme for a significant number of people and by extension businesses and the market as a whole.  This is a struggle for many and our challenge is to provide the road map to sense and respond to the waves of disruption.  I think that we are reaching the point of actually creating a new series of disruptions as a result of not accepting the change and attempting to return to the previous comfort level.

This new process requires a robust risk management process that defines a business continuity program.  The goal of the risk management process is to imagine disruption and the potential for description and then determine how to respond to the disruption.  This is where multi-stream definitions and planning comes into play because as we continuously see demonstrated in real life; disruption impact is a reaction to multiple pressures and events combined to force a reaction.  This requires a risk management and business continuity program that is robust enough to first identify the potential and second identify responses to the waves of disruption that are combined based on the waves of disruption.  

A key issue and single greatest factor to the COVID-19 disruption is not the actual physical and structural disruptions but the lack of imagination and forsight to first imagine the potential and second to imagine a response.  We see this over and over - the so-called black swan even that surprises everyone.  As an example, whether you subscribe to climate change you should be developing response to the weather based disruptions we are experiencing.  

Here is the key challenge; you cannot hope to define all possible risks and define reactions for all posible impacts.  This is where the risk management process comes into play, you must define the potential of the risks and then based on the risk define the potential reaction.  Imagination of the possible allows reaction and response to the reality.  

How can you implement a robust risk mitigation program?

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'

Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

COVID-19 Requires Optionized Supply Chain

I have been discussing supply chain disruption for quite a while now as it relates to consumer demands and natural events such as destructive weather. The COVID-19 pandemic now adds a new and even more real, and more serious, disruption that must be addressed. The key underlying challenge is how to address disruption and especially extreme disruption. We have already entered into a time of extreme discontinuous disruption that demands and absolutely requires immediate response to survive and support the demands created from the disruption. We can no longer ignore the disruption cycle and as a result must focus now on an optionized supply chain rather than an optimized supply chain so the response can be supported through pre-planned actions. The critical requirement is to continue the supply chain and minimize disruption through a robust risk sense and respond strategy. This risk management strategy must become a critical aspect to the supply chain management overarching strategic plan.

The global supply chain is a fact of life now and as a result of the length of time this supply chain has been developing, it is now the norm. Frankly, it would require an unreasonable length of time and money to change, and most importantly, the cost would never be recovered. We must look past the angry demands to move manufacturing ‘back to the US’ and instead take a more reasonable approach to accept and plan for disruption and then develop options and practices to quickly and efficiently adjust to disruption. This means adding an enhanced risk analysis and risk management strategy to the supply chain planning and forecasting tool kit. We must now focus on disruption scenario planning and response option development to ensure that we are able to minimize the impact to the supply chain.

The good news is that we already have practices and tools available to enable disruption options risk analysis and determination. The current state of supply chain software with the addition of big data analytics provides the framework for a robust early risk warning capability to allow implementation of options to address the disruption. We must develop the strategy now utilizing the framework of available tools to support the process. The result of this initiative will be a framework of process and procedures that will allow the extended supply chain partners to sense and respond to disruption based on scenarios and options that have been identified previously.

The challenge with implementing the disruption sense and respond risk analysis framework is not the supply chain management tools. These tools are quite robust and provide the capabilities to adjust quickly and efficiently to the disruptions in a truly efficient manner. These tools over the years have progressed to a state of flexibility in configuration capabilities that is truly quite amazing. The flexibility and configurability has been built into the software to allow a super user to support standard and general maintenance requirements without support of an engineer or software developer. These configuration capabilities I believe are quite capable to support the demands of the ‘optionized’ supply chain to support the risk sense and response framework.

The challenge now from a technology perspective is related to sensing and identification of the risk in a timeframe that allows the supply chain to identify and then implement the appropriate configuration options to manage and flourish during and (most importantly) after, the disruption event. Fortunately, big data and analytics has reached a state that is beginning to support the requirements to sense and determine how to respond to the disruption based on a predetermined business continuity plan. The analytics requires an efficient tool in order to bring the data together from disparate sources into a pool where the analytics can be utilized. This is one of the new continuing supply chain management requirements.

This leads to the next challenge which is to define a robust and flexible business continuity plan that provides suggestions for predetermined options based on the type of disruption. This business continuity plan takes on new meaning and also new use in the supply chain. This plan must be extended first to identify any type of business and supply chain disruption that may occur and then identify the potential for the disruption (risk) along with configuration options to react and adjust to the disruption. In my experience, the business continuity plan has been reviewed at a minimum and normally on an annual basis. The review process must be more rigorous and reviewed more frequently in order to provide the flexibility and direction required to address disruption.

I suggest a two-pronged focus on the review of the business continuity plan to extend the types of disruption and the potential impact along with identification and implementation of a data analytics tool that supports efficient and flexible identification of disruption early. It is most important to identify the potential for disruption so that you can react early and adjust to address the disruption prior to serious supply chain impact. The key focus must be the big data analytics in order to sense and respond to the disruption. Disruption is a way of life now, it is critical to manage the disruption in a way that limits the supply chain disruption.

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com



@ncspartners

Disruptive Forces In The Supply Chain

There are so many factors driving transformation and disruption in the supply chain that we have moved from a model of discontinuous change to a model of discontinuous disruption.

The disruptions in the supply chain now are driven by the developments and incorporation of new capabilities that are more and more identified and developed utilizing the information and capabilities delivered by data analytics and artificial intelligence technologies. The pieces of technologies are being brought together through the immense amount of data and abilities to fully utilize the data that themselves have been made possible by technology. In the same way that technologies have allowed consumers to mold their professional interactions to meet their lifestyle needs, technology is also supporting the supply chain and extended partners to meet the supply chain business interaction and operational needs.

In a very real way consumers are driving the disruption through their embrace of technology combined with increased network capabilities that are blending their interactions across every corner of their professional interactions. Supply chain leaders and partners have embraced growth in data analytics that is made possible by technology improvements in data storage, network improvements to move the data and then most importantly the computing power improvements to drive the data analytics capabilities to analyze the data to understand and define direction and capabilities required to improve the supply chain to meet the demands. The supply chain supports the consumer demands across all industries and the computing power along with the network capabilities available to every individual across the supply chain is driving the discontinuous disruption.

The pieces of discontinuous disruption have been developed and also been growing in their use in the supply chain starting with the growth of the Internet of Things technologies and tools and naturally expanding in the supply chain arena into automation of processes and then add to this the robotic movement that is growing now, especially in the third party logistics industry and you can see that these pieces required a technology and capability to coordinate and connect the dots. All of these technologies are collecting immense amounts of data for the supply chain to utilize to improve the services and increase their capabilities without necessarily increasing the long term costs.

Supply chain leaders are using these technologies and really driven by their own imagination and questioning ‘why not’ to drive this growth and expansion of supply chain processes and operational improvements and most importantly efficiencies. These technologies are disrupting through the implementation and growth of automated operational and process improvements that are driving efficiencies into the supply chain. The true disruption innovation in the supply chain is the imagination that has been released through the implementation of these technologies that are driven in large part by the improvements in analytics and computing power to release and encourage this imaginative approach to disruption.

This is the amazing thing in my opinion, that the consumer is at the center driving the disruption into the supply chain industry based on their demonstrated imagination and use of technologies to put together their own solutions. These strong outside influences are driving the basic need for the supply chain to understand and maintain the velocity of disruption in processes operations and especially functionality in order to meet the consumer and market demands. Most importantly, though is the continuous improvement process and data analytics capabilities that must be implemented to allow the supply chain to sense and respond to the disruption that is now impacting the supply chain marketplace.

Generation AI Influence On The Market

Artificial Intelligence has greatly impacted the supply chain and ‘you ain’t seen nothin yet’ as they say. The market disruption is driven by the combination of consumer embrace of technology and the growing embrace from technology savvy, older generations in the market and the workforce. These converging influences are driving the supply chain now to incorporate these same new technologies in combination with artificial intelligence in order to sense and respond to the disruption. Disruption in the market will only increase because of technology capability improvements and the imagination of the consumer. This imagination and experimentation will increase the disruption as the new generations increase their involvement in the market.

We are seeing now a dramatic increase in market participation by millennials and gen-x and in turn the market must be prepared to incorporate their reactions and demands. As for sensing the demands, there is so much information available now in the market based on the online habits that there is really no way to sift through this vast amount of data to succeed in reacting and meeting the demands without Artificial Intelligence. We are seeing now the results of poor the poor sense and respond capabilities in the marketplace with legacy brick and mortar retailers struggling with the disruption and lurching from one attempt to react to another. The market itself and the consumers have moved on before these retailers can react. This is essentially a real time demonstration of the disruption in action and this will only increase in velocity.

The key disrupting factor now is mobile technology and how the younger generations are using this technology to support their lifestyle demands. This disruption has increased in velocity as the concepts are proven by early adopters and then spread through other consumer groups. Based on the embrace of mobile technology, what was once a strategic weapon is now almost a strategic albatross, I’m speaking of the number of brick and mortar stores. This embrace of mobile technology requires an equal embrace of the omni channel shopping experience by the large retailers. The current major disruption rolling through the retail market is related to the demands of consumers for a true omni channel experience. The retailers struggling are the larger retailers that have been slow to invest in technology to develop the experience.

Now we are seeing the results of this shopping disruption, especially in the large department store sector, where the early adapters are succeeding and the late adaptors are struggling! The struggling retailers are seeing the results of previous strategic practices to hold off on investment until the market settles and the winning technology has been selected by the market. As a result of the velocity of change in technology and use of the technology the winning technology is not selected by the market, instead the technology is embraced and usage of the technology modified and enhanced based on the users of the technology.

I see that the most significant disrupting factor in the market now is not related to technology use by the marketplace but related to the technology use by consumers within the market. Consumers have now turned the table on the market by developing methods that must be adopted by the market and retailers rather than the market pushing capabilities to the consumer. This is really where consumers are driving the market and this is also the most significant opportunity for a retailer such as Amazon or now Wal Mart to really reshape the relationship with the consumer and in doing this reshaping the market itself.

Discontinuous Demands Of The Market

Consumers are driving waves of discontinuous demands that are disrupting the market and all of the partners in the market. The cycles and the velocity of changing demands has increased as a result of the consumer embrace of technologies that allow the consumer to shape their demands based on their changing lifestyle requirements. Just as the market reacts to a set of demands it seems that the consumers shift and change the demands again. This cycle is complicated by the combinations of generational, technology and lifestyle priorities. The market must implement the process and tools to sense and respond to the demands in a manner that allows them to maintain the pace of the discontinuous demands.

Millennials and Gen X’ers are entering and as a result of their entrance are impacting the market in a big way as a result of their comfort with technology and their imagination in supporting and even creating their lifestyle demands. These millennial and Gen X’er generations are the ‘tip of the spear’ in utilizing technology to create new ways to meet their demands. They are also a significant reason for the decline of department stores, large retailers and brick and mortar stores that is especially demonstrated in reductions in mall and store traffic.

The largest impact though is from the baby boomers embrace of technology and capabilities. This generation is a quick learner and perhaps most importantly from a market impact perspective they are also quick to embrace new trends and capabilities. Technology provides the opportunity to explore and rebuild a market and a very large number of baby boomers are searching for ways to support their lifestyle demands. In addition, baby boomers are not afraid of technology and as a result are quick adaptors to new technologies and capabilities that can address their demands.

Technology is the great equalizer in the market from both the consumer and the partners supplying the consumer. The combination of generations and their propensity to new demands and quick adaptation of new capabilities has dramatically shortened the change cycles. This, in turn, has left the market struggling to maintain and react. This cycle and resulting impact is quickening and bringing with it a faster disruption to the market that must be addressed in order to survive.

The change cycle has reached the point now where there is really no time for the market to adjust and extend the new capabilities across partners. The cycle has reached the point where the market must react quickly or fall behind. Falling behind can be the beginning of the end though because of the difficulty in catching up with the market.

This is where the importance of the collaborative social network practices come into play for the market to allow the partners to collaborate in reaction to meet the market demands. In other words, a strong collaborative network allows the partners to react and adjust to changing demands more efficiently and quickly. This is where the social networking technologies and practices make a big impact on the market reaction.

Social network technologies combined with big data and artificial intelligence analytics provide the capabilities to sense change in market demands more efficiently and earlier to allow for reaction time by the partners. Collaborative practices and tools allow partners to react in a manner that does not require each partner to develop a reaction to the demand. Instead the collaborative practices allow partners to take advantage of the specialties of each partner in reaction to the changing demands. The strength of the collaborative network allows market reaction to demands at the speed of the changing demands.

The greatest difficulty though is overcoming cultural practices that historically have viewed the changes in meeting demands as a trade secret to create a competitive demand. The culture needs to change to increase sharing and collaboration to sense and react to the changing demands. The competitive advantage is in the sharing and collaboration to allow the partner to more quickly react to the demands.

The measures especially utilizing collaborative practices to respond to the changing market demands are not overwhelming. These collaborative practices have been utilized for years in the extended supply chain as a means to react and respond to changing demands. The difficult actions from the market reaction perspective have been related to cultural practices both in the market and in the responses to the market demands. This has shown that overcoming cultural challenges in market leadership will be the number one challenge and delays or continuing in the same cultural practices will only cause the continual decline for these current leaders in the market.

Social Networks Driving Supply Chain Disruption

Social network collaborative technologies have left a mark on the personal communications world in the way that the technologies encourage both immediate connections and in the communications capabilities between connections. You can see the impact across all areas of interaction and these tools and the new collaborative capabilities they enable have disrupted not only personal social interaction but also the retail marketplace and the extended supply chain network. The disruption in the supply chain network can be seen in all aspects of the supply chain that thrive on collaboration and interaction, in other words these capabilities have disrupted the supply chain network practices. The resulting waves of discontinuous disruption will continue to be felt across the supply chain network for a long time to come.

Social network technologies and the resulting collaboration technologies are founded on open and efficient communications through networks and across technology platforms. The extended supply chain and partners processes and procedures require open and efficient communications through networks and across technology platforms so this has been a match made in heaven. This embrace of technologies was simply waiting for the right moment of technology and extensions of network technologies and frankly imagination to rise and disrupt the supply chain.

The pieces and practices have been in place in the supply chain for a long time and really waiting for someone with the imagination and will to define and deliver the potential. The tools for communication between have been available through EDI technologies, for instance. These technologies have been enhanced though to support extended connectivity demands via improvements in network and wireless technologies. The Internet of Things (IoT) has played a key role in the disruption of the communication. These technologies continue to disrupt process and practices as capabilities are developed to support the demands.

The areas of focus and disruption change based on reactions to demands and imagination in delivery and capabilities. The LTL market, for instance is in the throws of a major disruption now based on shared ride technologies. This has flowed into freight forwarders and also customization demands to support inventory management for last mile deliveries. This is a great example of consumer demands driving the market to incorporate social technologies, in this case ride share technologies, into the business process to improve the practices. Another example of technologies and network capabilities impact on supply chain is the Iot tools and capabilities utilization to improve tracking and planning capabilities that has been a continuous improvement process for quite some time.

Blockchain tracking and tracing capabilities are incorporated to support demands of lot trace and date management for food products to provide historic product pedigree information accuracy. These capabilities were initially slow to acceptance and now the combination of market demands (read consumer demands), regulatory requirements to support recalls and improvements in technology and network capabilities are driving this to mainstream usage. Blockchain technologies already provide a great deal of benefits and while already delivered significant impact in the supply chain it is really still in its infancy and I expect the capabilities and usage to expand with new imaginative demand.

Retail disruption has combined with technologies to produce a discontinuous disruption in supply chain to support changing consumer demands. Disruptive forces have always been around and the big difference now is the speed of the disruption. This speed has been increased as a result of technology and network capabilities available to the consumer more than any other factor, the key factor to the discontinuous disruption is the embrace of technology by consumers. The technology, combined with the improvements and growth in networks allowed the consumer to drive change into the market. Then social networks and social network technology encouraged the spread of consumer and business use of the technology. Putting technology into the hands of consumers is driving the rate and size of disruptions.

The challenge for the market and the supply chain is the identification of important and key disruptions, in other words what disruption will have legs that allow the disruption to grow and expand in usage. Unfortunately, there is really no way to determine the winners and losers and so the supply chain must act on all. This is where social networks and collaboration really show their value. Social networks provide the means to sense the disruption and measure the speed of growth along with clarification of the disruption. Collaboration and collaborative development allow the supply chain to respond and react to the disruption.

Retail Renewal

The retail market is in a process of renewal as a result of the disruption brought about by the omni market change by consumers to the marketplace. This is a good thing and a necessary thing that drives the market forward to support consumer demands. This time though the renewal is in part driven by consumers through technology and collaboration and in part driven by consumer focused Internet retailers like Amazon that are themselves encouraging and experimenting with consumer changing demands. I believe though that this renewal cycle is different from previous cycles in that the renewal will be a continuous cycle of disruption and renewal in the market. This is the key theme coming through in this cycle of renewal and this is one of the key differences i this new cycle from previous market cycles.

During the market renew driven by eCommerce and essentially lead by Amazon there was a theme carried through the disruption and the market renewal; the consumer demands to simplify their shopping via the Internet and eCommerce. This theme carried retailers into the next generation of the marketplace to produce and omni channel shopping experience. This was comforting to the market players as well because it was a proven direction that they could copy to produce results. The challenge to this cycle in the marketplace is that there is no common theme that carries through each example of disruption and renewal.

There is no visible common theme that can be reproduced for success, the success of one retailer cannot simply be reproduced by others. There are two key differences in the current cycle of disruption:


There is no common thread of success in the market. At odds with previous cycles of market disruption and change; the success from one cannot be copied by another. One retailer thrives and grows because of the strength of their brick and mortar outlets while another succeeds because of their online presence.


The disruption comes in a discontinuous cycle that does not give the market a chance to really settle. This presents a struggle to maintain the pace of the change and also does not allow for the response to be duplicated for across the market. Almost as soon as a disrupting force is recognized and addressed the next disruption is sweeping the market

This cycle of disruption is driven by consumers rather than by some retailer, as in the past and this is a very important difference in this disruption cycle. The last major disruption to the market in my opinion was the explosion of Amazon on the market. This disruption, like previous disruptions, was driven by a retailer with a vision that was embraced by consumers. This disruption, also like previous disruptions, spread through the market quickly with the concept, in this case the drive for the lowest price combined with ease of purchase and vast selection, was accepted and extended by other retailers until it seems to be embedded in the market DNA. This disruption is also in many ways at the root of the current disruption.

This current disruption started with the concept and the drive for the selection, price and ease of shopping. In the beginning, consumers' focus on low price was supported and driven by the opportunity of Internet retailers to cut prices. This was the result of retailers reacting to consumers and these same retailers attempting to gain market share. This drive from Internet retailers was borne of the drive to succeed and the ability of these new Internet retailers to take advantage of the market and cut costs dramatically because of their reduced overhead. Now this lowest price concept and drive has become the foundation of the retail market in many ways has also in many ways now bitten the creator of the concept.

Now the combination of technology and the growing ability of the consumer to direct and even change their shopping is also disrupting the market in a series of discontinuous changes that are driven by the imagination and the demands of the consumer. Now this new renewal is all about the consumer ability redirect and direct their shopping in ways that support their individual lifestyles along with their desire to spend less and get more in return. This new discontinuos disruption cycle also is creating a model for continuous renewal with technology providing the means and consumer lifestyle demands providing the direction.



This new market driven by continuous disruption requires each participant in the market to sense and respond to the disruption in a manner that is based on their own imagination and capabilities. This is the change that is impacting the market in the greatest manner because in previous cycles there was always time to confirm the most effective response and then this response would be reproduced by others. Now when the most effective response for a particular retailer is identified the market has already entered the next disruption cycle which changes the success factors. Retailers must change their culture then in order to succeed in this discontinuous disruption cycle.

Market Technology Transformation

Disruption in the market is now being driven to a very large extent by technology and this technology transformation is being led by the demands on the supply chain from consumers on the market. In all aspects of the market we are seeing a transformation that is being driven by the changing lifestyles of consumers. These changing lifestyles are, to a very large extent, enabled by technology that is available to consumers in every aspect of their daily activities. Consumers have embraced technology in every aspect of their daily activities and the impact on their lifestyle has been dramatic in the opportunities to meet their changing demands. This presents a challenge to the extended supply chain partners to support the market transformation that is driven by changing technology.

The most obvious example of technology that has dramatically impacted consumer lifestyles is the smartphone. Consumers have embraced the smartphone in every aspect of their daily activities to enable them to meet their changing lifestyle. These demands have transformed the methods in which they communicate, shop, pay bills and share experiences. The smartphone, in combination with improvements in wireless network technologies, are key factors in the market transformation and this transformation is only increasing in velocity. I know in my own activities that this technology has transformed my ability to meet the daily demands of family and career to allow me to blur the line between all activities; I can shop any time and then plan for delivery to meet the immediate demands, I am available for response any time the need arises whether personal or work related and the technology allows me to react based on the demand.

Technology has become pervasive across all activities and this has transformed the consumer market into an expectation of 24/7 shopping and delivery to meet the demands at the time. These demands have required the transformation of the extended supply chain to quickly and efficiently address the demands first and foremost. Most importantly this has required the transformation of the extended supply chain to develop the methods and processes to quickly and efficiently sense and respond to the changes. The transformation requires not only efficient response to new demands but experimentation with capabilities to create new consumer demands. The velocity of transformation has reached a level where the ability to react to demands is not enough to maintain share in the market participants must anticipate demand before consumers realize in order to maintain share.

Experimentation can be frustrating because of the potential for mistakes and failures. However, the market is changing at such a velocity that there is no choice but to experiment with creating future demands. This is especially difficult in the retail market because the culture and accepted practice is at odds with leading edge experimentation. We are seeing now though especially with Amazon and niche eCommerce retailers the rise of experimentation as a key capability. This transformation has dramatically impacted large legacy retailers causing failures and a struggle to keep up with the changes. The market is now seeing early signs of leading retailers such as Target or Walmart finally transforming their practices to leverage the multi-channel marketplace to transform their business.

Change has been supercharged into transformation and consumers are driving the retail market into continuous transformation that requires new methods and processes to anticipate demand rather than react to the demands. These processes must support faster and more flexible adjustments that are driving continuous transformation of the market. We have reached a point with technology where the speed of change requires anticipating and adjustments rather than sense and respond. This will further shake out the market and drive transformation in the supply chain.

Market Collaborative Forces

The supply chain partners realized a long time ago that they would need to collaborate across the entire extended supply chain in order to support the demands of the global supply chain. Retailers are now slowly coming to the realization that they will need to collaborate across the entire marketplace in order to support the demands of the retail omni marketplace. These retailers are dragged into the ‘new’ world of collaboration ultimately across all partners that participate in the market and we see many failed and failing retailers across the marketplace that have either failed to recognize the signs or more often than not have simply refused to recognize and embrace the collaborative practices that can help to maintain their viability. Now retailers are stuck in their legacy practices of waiting for technology and practices to solidify before choosing a path and more wrong-headed view of the importance of individualism in retail practices.




The supply chain players and partners have a distinct advantage in this new disruptive market because the supply chain went through a major disruptive re-awakening twice;


When the global supply chain came into prominence in the 80’s and 90’s. This was the first major wave that drove the supply chain into the collaborative network practices that allow them to quickly sense and respond to changing demands and disruptions in the supply chain.


During the great recession when the supply chain underwent major labor disruptions that disrupted the labor market as a result of cost reductions. This created a new focus on the third party logistics market as engineers were released by retailers and landed in the 3PL market. This move of expertise created a dearth of expertise in retailers and move of this expertise to 3PL providers.




The good news for retailers is that they can partner with their own supply chain to help in developing out the practices and capabilities that will help them to sense and respond to the disruptions that are now pummeling the market. The foundation to success in the retail market is the same formula and foundation the supply chain developed in response to the supply chain disruptions; collaboration, imagination and the extended network. The difficulty now for retailers is the need to accept the new model of collaboration to support the market.




This new or expanded model of collaboration for retailers will be a difficult change because it requires change to culture and generally accepted practices for the larger retailers. These larger retailers have spend many years focused on changes that have been proven and incremental changes that fit with their culture and practices. Now the tables have turned and the market demands sweeping changes in many ways that are so far out of the norm for these retailers that it leaves them struggling with attempts to acquire the capabilities. This is not a winning strategy though because by the time the retailer acquires and implements the new capability the market has moved on to the next two upheavals and the retailer continues to fall behind.