Showing posts with label risk. Show all posts
Showing posts with label risk. Show all posts

Monday, February 22, 2021

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply Chain Network Resilience

 

Supply chain network digitization has become a  key factor in supply chain resilience with the need driven in large part by VUCA resulting in waves of disruption across markets.   The number of companies seeking approaches to measure and benchmark their digital infrastructure and processes is growing as a result. In order to achieve the improvements necessary to support the demand it is important to incorporate tools that can assess, and perhaps most importantly, monitor the benefits and challenges resulting from the digitization process itself.  This is another variation on a continuous improvement program and requires the same methods and practices to achieve the digitization objectives and benefits.  It is important to review and validate modifications because of the relationships between multiple digitization initiatives and their combined benefits and challenges.  


Kearney’s Resilience Stress Test “Strategic Options To Build Resilience”, assesses supply chain resilience outside of the common disaster scenario capability and capacity planning to be able to rapidly flex, or repurpose, assets, across your extended supply chain network to be able to respond to unanticipated supply shocks, such as trade wars, major weather events, or permanent shifts in demand.  The dimensions of this stress test framework include: geography; planning; suppliers; inbound transportation; manufacturing; outbound distribution; product portfolio and platform; and financial/working capital.


In order to be successful the framework monitoring must be spread widely across all supply network points, and processes, as well as those of suppliers and partners, initially starting with critical processes and partners, with a focus on measuring the degree of digitalization and capabilities in each of these factors. These digitization capabilities and processes include using IoT sensors in logistics or fulfilment operations, robotic process automation in production or distribution, and analytics and machine learning in production centers, inventory management, and financial capital management.  As a starting point, the initial evaluation provides the baseline that should be used to monitor and measure progress and must be developed to support monitoring across your extended supply network.


This is where automated control tower software can and should be utilized to support a process that will continuously monitor the network.  Ideally, this control tower solution would be capable of alerts and even prescribe how to resolve issues as well as actually resolving issues automatically as they occur.  The challenge in the extended supply chain network is caused by the velocity of disruption experienced across your network.  These disruptions can occur with such speed and spread across your network partners that it becomes impossible to perform the necessary analysis and adjustments to react and address the disruption in a timely manner.  It is not enough to identify after the fact because of the potential damage to your business.  The velocity of the disruption and the potential impact requires immediate response and this can be achieved by a robust software solution that spans the supply chain network.


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tom.brouillette@gmail.com



Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and -technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Sunday, December 20, 2020

Digital Transformation Thoughts

 


Digital transformation requires significant support from the C-Suite to ensure success.  Initiative must be lead and encouraged by C-Suite and especially CEO.  Key to remember is this is a huge change management program that will change the way the company and organization works.  This makes it critically important for CEO to display, publicly and privately, support for the program.  


C-Suite must provide resources, people and funding, to ensure success.  This must not be a 'skunk works' initiative because of the signigicance and requirement for the entire organization to be aligned and moving together.  There is a great deal of work to be done and there will be changes, and risks, along the way that must be addressed and these can only really be addressed with the support of senior management.  


This is a long-term program that requires continued support and focus in order to succeed.  This will require a robust plan and management focus in order to succeed.  This is not an program that can, or should, be delivered as a big-bang.  Digital Transformation is a discovery process that will re-invent your business and as such requires experimentation and trial and error practices to validate the tools and processes involved in the transformation. The transformation will succeed by following a continuous improvement model of PDCA (Plan, Do, Check, Act) that supports experimentation and quick adjustments to ensure the feedback is incorporated quickly.


Digital transformation will require a transition to new processes, capabilities and software, some of which will be invented as part of the transformation.  This is a significant business and market disruption program that will grow and solidify as a result of waves of change and disruption.  This requires a tool that can support quick prototype experimentation to validate concepts.  This is where Robotic Process Automation (RPA) tools come into play for a significant role in the success of your program.

RPA tools provide a means to build new connections and process across multiple platforms and technology to eliminate non-value add processes and procedures.  Digital transformation is essentially the most significant Lean program that the market will take on and this requires high level encouragement and support for the business and organization to embrace.  RPA tools can provide the bridge from current business as usual to Digital Transformation.


Next big question is how can you initiate this program to increase the likelihood of success?  How can a strong and experienced supply chain consulting partner help you to build the plan that can help to ensure success?


Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition,  Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends.  To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Thursday, November 26, 2020

Partner To Develop Digital Enablement Strategy

 


 


The COVID-19 pandemic disruption created an urgency in reacting and redefining the global supply chain in reaction to the consumer market upheaval. The initial pandemic disruption set off waves of related disruptions in such a short period of time that companies and organizations are overwhelmed because they cannot wait until the dust settles to address the next event. We have truly entered into a time of severe VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity) across the marketplace and the supply chain is in the eye of this storm providing the key capabilities to respond. Now, perhaps more than ever, the response depends on partnerships across the extended supply chain to effectively sense and respond to the disruptions.

We must now assume that the cycles of disruption have reached a point where this time of severe VUCA will be the norm for the foreseeable future. As such, we must develop a strategy and the capabilities that help partner organizations in the extended supply chain to sense the disruption early and respond to the disruption quickly and effectively in a manner that can be leveraged for the response to the next wave of disruption. These demands require expertise in the broad market along with deep specific expertise of partners to first navigate the events and then develop a strategy to utilize the network capabilities to respond. Quick response requirements do not allow for delay hoping the disruption will disappear. We should have learned by now that it requires a response that is based on a market impact and expertise in quick identification of an appropriate response.

This is where technology and specifically a robust digital enablement / transformation strategy comes into play. The velocity of the market coupled with disrupting forces make it almost impossible for humans to sense the disruption in time to respond and limit the impact and prepare for the potential next disruption. Technology that senses the changes in the market and then identifies potential results and impact is critical to the success of a business. Considering the extended supply chain as an example, there is just too many moving parts and participants in the equation for any one partner to hope to identify and implement a response. Success requires developing a partner network to be able to respond to the waves of disruption effectively. Further success requires developing a market partner strategy that informs and enables each individual partner strategy.

This new model requires a strategy that is at once flexible and also embraces extended partnerships to enable the response to disruption in a way that supports the business strategy. Organizations must partner with an expert(s) to help develop this strategy in order to meet the time constraints. You cannot wait for the current VUCA environment to settle and return to business as usual. We need to accept the fact now that business as usual is a VUCA state that requires organizations and partners to ‘walk and chew gum at the same time’. This requires the input and direction from an expert with the vision and the experience and perhaps most importantly the network of partners and contacts that can help in developing this strategy.



Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Sunday, August 16, 2020

Benefits From COVID-19 Disruption In The Supply Chain





With each significant disruption in the supply chain and in the global market our supply chain practice and procedures must perform a lessons learned exercise to identify the areas of successful response and areas for improvement. I know it sounds counterintuitive to call out benefits however every event should be evaluated to identify areas of success and improvement. There have been areas of success in the supply chain, especially in the way that the entire supply chain reacted to the disruptions in both product types and manufacturing. There are also many areas for improvement and most importantly this pandemic has identified significant weak areas in the global supply chain. The challenge now is to look back to evaluate the disruptions to determine improvements to incorporate in both sensing and responding to the disruption.

First let me call out that I believe the disruptions in the global supply chain are the result of poor risk analysis and business continuity responses to disruption. The overarching answer is not moving the supply to local manufacturing but to implement improvements in the process and procedures for sense and response to disruption. We know that the impact of a pandemic can and should be defined and practiced, while we can’t tell the exact nature of a pandemic, we can plan for a pandemic response. We also know that the global supply chain has grown and developed as a result of the global market demands on the supply and there is no easy answer to the challenge, especially moving manufacturing locally!

We have learned some key findings from this regarding the importance of the response to the disruption that could reduce the impact in the future. These are the factors that must be documented and a process implemented to review the market conditions on a regular basis. I believe that we have let the supply chain become fragile and brittle as a result of a focus on cost only. One learning or benefit from the experience is the need to plan for disruption of many types and combinations to improve supply chain resiliency. There are two factors that improve the resiliency of the supply chain;

Risk and response analysis is critical to the successful response to any disruption. This is a complex exercise because it requires imagination to identify the potential risk and then another type of imagination to define the response to the disruption. This is a major area of improvement.

Supply chain partner collaboration is another critical success factor to the response to any disruption. We have seen improvements in supply chain partner collaboration recently, however it has not been nearly fast enough, nor far enough. The supply chain is just that a chain of links from partner to partner that must work together to successfully support the market. The supply chain activities have met the challenge of the global market, however, the partners have refrained from extending and growing the collaboration that is necessary to react to significant disruption.

The future success of the global supply chain is based on the ability to quickly sense and respond to disruption, and more importantly multiple combinations of disruption. This is where process automation and analytics come into play. This is also the same areas showing dramatic increases in interest and expanded implementation. We must be careful in our response and strategic planning that we focus on flexibility and resilience when developing our strategic plan and reactions to the multiple disruptions. We have the process in place for the process automation and this has become critical to the response to the disruption. We must now develop the analytics to allow us to sense the disruption before significant impact and define the potential responses to any disruption. The third point that cannot be shorted is expanding collaborative practices across the extended global supply chain to improve response and reaction time to the disruption.

What steps have you taken to evaluate your response to the pandemic and identify areas of improvement?

Tom Brouillette
Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners

Thank you for reading my post on Linkedin in addition, Here at my blog I regularly write about management and technology trends. To read my future posts on LinkedIn click 'Follow'


Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Sunday, June 28, 2020

Risk Scenario Analysis




Risk scenario analysis requires imagination and most importantly collaborative brainstorming in order to identify all risks, even and especially risks that today seem outlandish. As an example, I would have never considered Amazon stopping non-essential product shipments but this is exactly what was enacted as a response to this pandemic. One of the consequences of this action has been a significant impact on small businesses that utilize Amazon for their warehouse and order filling support. This in-tern impacted the success of a great deal of small businesses that were dependant on the Amazon fulfillment services which impacted the livelihood of many employees along with the success of the small business. This then fed into the overall economic impact from the pandemic. This is a great example of the relationships and overall impact of seemingly unrelated decisions on a wide range of people and businesses.

The above example is the key reason why it is so important to perform robust risk scenario analysis. In the example above the impacted businesses now must evaluate the risk of the fulfillment disruption and how they can react to this disruption to support their business. Business must develop a strategic risk management process that views scenarios for any and all risk to the business. Starting in the beginning of this yea the waves of disruption experienced to date have shown that you cannot eliminate a risk because it will never happen. We have gone through a series of disruptions that previously were simply unimaginable as a real risk and so there were no response strategies developed.

The first step is to identify and fully document the risk scenario. This means that the risk scenario must not only identify the potential risk, it must also identify the potential impact to the market and also the business. The definition of the risk is not complete though until you have identified and documented how to sense the risk so that you can execute your planned response. This means that you should identify and document 'outlandish' risks as well as generally accepted risks. The outlandish risk may never materialize however it is important to call out the scenario so that you can take steps to minimize the potential as well as prepare for the realization of the risk.

This is an important point - one of the objectives of the strategic risk analysis and a key outcome are steps that can be taken that will minimize the potential for the risk. This is a concept that needs to become a focus of every risk mitigation strategy because the best way to react to a risk is to eliminate the cause of the risk. Simply defining the risk and the potential impact to the market in general and your business specifically will help to identify how to sense the risk. This exercise of risk identification and early recognition will provide the framework to define the steps necessary to eliminate the risk from occurring.

Risk scenario analysis and mitigation has always been an important aspect of project planning and management. We must institute this same practice now in the supply chain management and business continuity process. As a result of the rate and impact of disruption hitting the market and businesses we must recognize that risk analysis can no longer be viewed as an inward facing exercise. As a result of the disruptions hitting this year we must finally recognize that business continuity must be and outward facing strategy that recognizes early the factors developing of the disruption and takes steps to mitigate and avert major impact.

Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners