Partner To Develop Digital Enablement Strategy

 

 

The COVID-19 pandemic disruption created an urgency in reacting and redefining the global supply chain in reaction to the consumer market upheaval. The initial pandemic disruption set off waves of related disruptions in such a short period of time that companies and organizations are overwhelmed because they cannot wait until the dust settles to address the next event. We have truly entered into a time of severe VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity) across the marketplace and the supply chain is in the eye of this storm providing the key capabilities to respond. Now, perhaps more than ever, the response depends on partnerships across the extended supply chain to effectively sense and respond to the disruptions.

We must now assume that the cycles of disruption have reached a point where this time of severe VUCA will be the norm for the foreseeable future. As such, we must develop a strategy and the capabilities that help partner organizations in the extended supply chain to sense the disruption early and respond to the disruption quickly and effectively in a manner that can be leveraged for the response to the next wave of disruption. These demands require expertise in the broad market along with deep specific expertise of partners to first navigate the events and then develop a strategy to utilize the network capabilities to respond. Quick response requirements do not allow for delay hoping the disruption will disappear. We should have learned by now that it requires a response that is based on a market impact and expertise in quick identification of an appropriate response.

This is where technology and specifically a robust digital enablement / transformation strategy comes into play. The velocity of the market coupled with disrupting forces make it almost impossible for humans to sense the disruption in time to respond and limit the impact and prepare for the potential next disruption. Technology that senses the changes in the market and then identifies potential results and impact is critical to the success of a business. Considering the extended supply chain as an example, there is just too many moving parts and participants in the equation for any one partner to hope to identify and implement a response. Success requires developing a partner network to be able to respond to the waves of disruption effectively. Further success requires developing a market partner strategy that informs and enables each individual partner strategy.

This new model requires a strategy that is at once flexible and also embraces extended partnerships to enable the response to disruption in a way that supports the business strategy. Organizations must partner with an expert(s) to help develop this strategy in order to meet the time constraints. You cannot wait for the current VUCA environment to settle and return to business as usual. We need to accept the fact now that business as usual is a VUCA state that requires organizations and partners to ‘walk and chew gum at the same time’. This requires the input and direction from an expert with the vision and the experience and perhaps most importantly the network of partners and contacts that can help in developing this strategy.



Tom Brouillette

Contact: tbrouillette@ncspartners.com

@ncspartners


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Tom Brouillette discusses supply chain trends and provides strategic business & technology advice to his followers and companies.

Retail Renewal

The retail market is in a process of renewal as a result of the disruption brought about by the omni market change by consumers to the marketplace. This is a good thing and a necessary thing that drives the market forward to support consumer demands. This time though the renewal is in part driven by consumers through technology and collaboration and in part driven by consumer focused Internet retailers like Amazon that are themselves encouraging and experimenting with consumer changing demands. I believe though that this renewal cycle is different from previous cycles in that the renewal will be a continuous cycle of disruption and renewal in the market. This is the key theme coming through in this cycle of renewal and this is one of the key differences i this new cycle from previous market cycles.

During the market renew driven by eCommerce and essentially lead by Amazon there was a theme carried through the disruption and the market renewal; the consumer demands to simplify their shopping via the Internet and eCommerce. This theme carried retailers into the next generation of the marketplace to produce and omni channel shopping experience. This was comforting to the market players as well because it was a proven direction that they could copy to produce results. The challenge to this cycle in the marketplace is that there is no common theme that carries through each example of disruption and renewal.

There is no visible common theme that can be reproduced for success, the success of one retailer cannot simply be reproduced by others. There are two key differences in the current cycle of disruption:


There is no common thread of success in the market. At odds with previous cycles of market disruption and change; the success from one cannot be copied by another. One retailer thrives and grows because of the strength of their brick and mortar outlets while another succeeds because of their online presence.


The disruption comes in a discontinuous cycle that does not give the market a chance to really settle. This presents a struggle to maintain the pace of the change and also does not allow for the response to be duplicated for across the market. Almost as soon as a disrupting force is recognized and addressed the next disruption is sweeping the market

This cycle of disruption is driven by consumers rather than by some retailer, as in the past and this is a very important difference in this disruption cycle. The last major disruption to the market in my opinion was the explosion of Amazon on the market. This disruption, like previous disruptions, was driven by a retailer with a vision that was embraced by consumers. This disruption, also like previous disruptions, spread through the market quickly with the concept, in this case the drive for the lowest price combined with ease of purchase and vast selection, was accepted and extended by other retailers until it seems to be embedded in the market DNA. This disruption is also in many ways at the root of the current disruption.

This current disruption started with the concept and the drive for the selection, price and ease of shopping. In the beginning, consumers' focus on low price was supported and driven by the opportunity of Internet retailers to cut prices. This was the result of retailers reacting to consumers and these same retailers attempting to gain market share. This drive from Internet retailers was borne of the drive to succeed and the ability of these new Internet retailers to take advantage of the market and cut costs dramatically because of their reduced overhead. Now this lowest price concept and drive has become the foundation of the retail market in many ways has also in many ways now bitten the creator of the concept.

Now the combination of technology and the growing ability of the consumer to direct and even change their shopping is also disrupting the market in a series of discontinuous changes that are driven by the imagination and the demands of the consumer. Now this new renewal is all about the consumer ability redirect and direct their shopping in ways that support their individual lifestyles along with their desire to spend less and get more in return. This new discontinuos disruption cycle also is creating a model for continuous renewal with technology providing the means and consumer lifestyle demands providing the direction.



This new market driven by continuous disruption requires each participant in the market to sense and respond to the disruption in a manner that is based on their own imagination and capabilities. This is the change that is impacting the market in the greatest manner because in previous cycles there was always time to confirm the most effective response and then this response would be reproduced by others. Now when the most effective response for a particular retailer is identified the market has already entered the next disruption cycle which changes the success factors. Retailers must change their culture then in order to succeed in this discontinuous disruption cycle.

Effective Inventory Mangement

Inventory management is one of the pillars of a successful retail business and especially critical in the highly competitive eCommerce marketplace. While this statement would seem to go without saying, in the real world, effective inventory management can be very to achieve because of all of the moving parts. Effective inventory management requires first a focus on the basics; attention to detail, strong process management and determination especially when supporting controls and investigations.

Effective inventory management requires execution of complex global inventory management strategies, along with collaboration across internal and external partners that all come together to support the inventory management processes and procedures that support the highly volatile business demands. A focus on inventory management and control is required to support the extended global supply chain that is now key to the retail marketplace.

Inventory management provides the foundation of tools, process and procedures required to succeed in the global retail marketplace. It may not be a flashy capability but it is a base requirement to support the flashy side of retail . Bad inventory decisions can kill an organization’s profitability and wreak havoc on the supply chain. Developing and implementing inventory management controls as part of a seamless global logistics program doesn't just happen overnight. The successful inventory management program will be based on the following building blocks:


Collaboration program across the entire extended supply chain


Logistics planning, forecasting and analysis accuracy through robust sales and operations planning


Cycle counts to eliminate physical inventory


Product count program based on velocity and product demand to ensure availability for high demand product (A, B, C velocity usage)


How often do you analyze the velocity?


Inventory turn management that includes continuous review:


How do you improve inventory turn?


How do kits and co-pack products impact inventory and inventory turn


Inventory stocking practices in a multi DC network


Advanced Analytics supporting forecasting and planning

Inventory planning and forecasting provides an important feature and support in an effective continuous improvement process guiding inventory management practices in the global market. The accuracy of the planning and forecasting are enhanced by the volume of data available from the extended supply chain partners and requires a robust set of tools to perform the analysis. This begins with a focus on implementing and maintaining the fundamentals of inventory management and controls including robust programs starting with manufacturing planning, through cycle count procedures to ensure accuracy through inventory performance analytics supporting forecasting and planning.

Technology adds value to the continuous improvement process by providing a framework that integrates the data available from the from planning and forecasting with the process execution data to improve the ability to sense and respond in a continuous manner. Technology has become an integral partner in these activities to provide the connectivity required for the extended supply chain partners create knowledge from the vast amounts of data that are available. A robust continuous improvement program allows the supply chain partners to sense and respond to the changing inventory control demands that are increasing in both velocity and impact on the supply chain success,





Technology and collaboration has reached the point now where inventory management and control can fully utilize and take advantage of the volume of data to increase the effectiveness of the continuous improvement procedures and data volume support should not be considered a limiting factor. Big data capabilities provide the opportunity for each of the partners in the extended supply chain to both share and utilize data that would not have been imagined even three years ago and by the same token the capabilities of three years from now will be light years ahead. The focus of the supply chain partners must be on starting the continuous inventory management process and to develop the collaborative processes and procedures that will encourage experimentation and improvements.

Market Technology Transformation

Disruption in the market is now being driven to a very large extent by technology and this technology transformation is being led by the demands on the supply chain from consumers on the market. In all aspects of the market we are seeing a transformation that is being driven by the changing lifestyles of consumers. These changing lifestyles are, to a very large extent, enabled by technology that is available to consumers in every aspect of their daily activities. Consumers have embraced technology in every aspect of their daily activities and the impact on their lifestyle has been dramatic in the opportunities to meet their changing demands. This presents a challenge to the extended supply chain partners to support the market transformation that is driven by changing technology.

The most obvious example of technology that has dramatically impacted consumer lifestyles is the smartphone. Consumers have embraced the smartphone in every aspect of their daily activities to enable them to meet their changing lifestyle. These demands have transformed the methods in which they communicate, shop, pay bills and share experiences. The smartphone, in combination with improvements in wireless network technologies, are key factors in the market transformation and this transformation is only increasing in velocity. I know in my own activities that this technology has transformed my ability to meet the daily demands of family and career to allow me to blur the line between all activities; I can shop any time and then plan for delivery to meet the immediate demands, I am available for response any time the need arises whether personal or work related and the technology allows me to react based on the demand.

Technology has become pervasive across all activities and this has transformed the consumer market into an expectation of 24/7 shopping and delivery to meet the demands at the time. These demands have required the transformation of the extended supply chain to quickly and efficiently address the demands first and foremost. Most importantly this has required the transformation of the extended supply chain to develop the methods and processes to quickly and efficiently sense and respond to the changes. The transformation requires not only efficient response to new demands but experimentation with capabilities to create new consumer demands. The velocity of transformation has reached a level where the ability to react to demands is not enough to maintain share in the market participants must anticipate demand before consumers realize in order to maintain share.

Experimentation can be frustrating because of the potential for mistakes and failures. However, the market is changing at such a velocity that there is no choice but to experiment with creating future demands. This is especially difficult in the retail market because the culture and accepted practice is at odds with leading edge experimentation. We are seeing now though especially with Amazon and niche eCommerce retailers the rise of experimentation as a key capability. This transformation has dramatically impacted large legacy retailers causing failures and a struggle to keep up with the changes. The market is now seeing early signs of leading retailers such as Target or Walmart finally transforming their practices to leverage the multi-channel marketplace to transform their business.

Change has been supercharged into transformation and consumers are driving the retail market into continuous transformation that requires new methods and processes to anticipate demand rather than react to the demands. These processes must support faster and more flexible adjustments that are driving continuous transformation of the market. We have reached a point with technology where the speed of change requires anticipating and adjustments rather than sense and respond. This will further shake out the market and drive transformation in the supply chain.

Collaboration In Time Of Disruption

I see conversational commerce as a major disrupter coming to the retail marketplace and while the retailers that have been focused on AI and data analysis will be the retailers that are best prepared sense and respond to the changing demands of the market, there is also no question in my mind that collaboration is critical to the ability to execute on the demands. Collaboration will increase in importance in the future markets because there is no way that a single partner can respond to all of the changing demands of the consumer. The extended supply chain is probably the key to the success of supporting the market demands. These demands can only be met through a robust collaborative network in the extended supply chain.




The extended supply chain is in a unique position in this disruption because of the previous work building a collaborative network that supports the ability to sense and respond to the changing demands in a global marketplace. This experience has forced the extended supply chain network to develop a strong collaborative network of partners that support the demands and provide a connected network of partners that provide point solutions to meet the demands. This is the ‘secret sauce’ of the supply chain collaborative network. This collaborative network provides the framework for point solution providers to flourish because the connectivity framework is already available for the solution providers to market and deliver services. This was an unintended benefit from the work to develop a robust collaborative network; the framework to support share support of the global supply chain demands and encourage point solution development to rapidly deliver solutions to the partners.




The disruption of the global market demands was a precursor in the extended supply chain to the disruption the retail marketplace is beginning to experience now. This disruption will roll through the retail marketplace in a manner similar to the global marketplace disruption on the extended supply chain and the smart players in the marketplace will be incorporating the lessons learned from the global market disruption to build a collaborative network that supports the speed of change necessary to meet the demands. This means embracing network capabilities that encourage and support the point solution model developed in the supply chain. I believe this is the single most important key to supporting and even encouraging the disruption in the retail marketplace.

Disruption is not a point that impacts only the retail market or only the extended supply chain.  Disruption is a cumulative effect that builds on past change and disruption to redefine the market and I believe that we have reached a ‘perfect storm’ point in time where the demands and expectations of consumers, and market partners are being driven by technology and the converging of technology capabilities, embrace of the capabilities and lifestyle demands imagination of consumers and market partners to build a new marketplace that eliminates channels and the lines between channels to produce a new marketplace. 

Market Collaborative Forces

The supply chain partners realized a long time ago that they would need to collaborate across the entire extended supply chain in order to support the demands of the global supply chain. Retailers are now slowly coming to the realization that they will need to collaborate across the entire marketplace in order to support the demands of the retail omni marketplace. These retailers are dragged into the ‘new’ world of collaboration ultimately across all partners that participate in the market and we see many failed and failing retailers across the marketplace that have either failed to recognize the signs or more often than not have simply refused to recognize and embrace the collaborative practices that can help to maintain their viability. Now retailers are stuck in their legacy practices of waiting for technology and practices to solidify before choosing a path and more wrong-headed view of the importance of individualism in retail practices.




The supply chain players and partners have a distinct advantage in this new disruptive market because the supply chain went through a major disruptive re-awakening twice;


When the global supply chain came into prominence in the 80’s and 90’s. This was the first major wave that drove the supply chain into the collaborative network practices that allow them to quickly sense and respond to changing demands and disruptions in the supply chain.


During the great recession when the supply chain underwent major labor disruptions that disrupted the labor market as a result of cost reductions. This created a new focus on the third party logistics market as engineers were released by retailers and landed in the 3PL market. This move of expertise created a dearth of expertise in retailers and move of this expertise to 3PL providers.




The good news for retailers is that they can partner with their own supply chain to help in developing out the practices and capabilities that will help them to sense and respond to the disruptions that are now pummeling the market. The foundation to success in the retail market is the same formula and foundation the supply chain developed in response to the supply chain disruptions; collaboration, imagination and the extended network. The difficulty now for retailers is the need to accept the new model of collaboration to support the market.




This new or expanded model of collaboration for retailers will be a difficult change because it requires change to culture and generally accepted practices for the larger retailers. These larger retailers have spend many years focused on changes that have been proven and incremental changes that fit with their culture and practices. Now the tables have turned and the market demands sweeping changes in many ways that are so far out of the norm for these retailers that it leaves them struggling with attempts to acquire the capabilities. This is not a winning strategy though because by the time the retailer acquires and implements the new capability the market has moved on to the next two upheavals and the retailer continues to fall behind.

Supply Chain In Retail Disruption

The retail market disruption is being driven and supported to a very large extent by the capabilities and services supported by the extended supply chain. The long list of recent changes and demands on the retail market are implementations of supply chain services to support the demands of the consumer in remaking the retail market into an omni market that supports the varied demands of the consumer shopping and purchasing. The demands for goods from consumers has remained in the same pattern over time where the consumer fashion and hardgoods have remained relatively constant, colors may change or styles might change but these products have remained relatively constant. While appliance features have changed as a result of technology advancements, the microwave, the washer, the dryer have all remained relatively constant. The shopping and purchasing demands have, by and large, driven the disruption through the market though with new services to support consumer lifestyles.





The supply chain places a great deal of focus and dependence on technology to support and develop new services and one of the most important aspects of supporting and delivery of new services is the collaborative supply chain network. The supply chain extended network is a model of collaboration and the practices and services required to sense and respond to the changing demands of the market. This is evident in the network support of point solutions and collaboration to coordinate services and activities throughout the supply chain from the point of raw material forecast and delivery to the manufacturing plant to the point of deliver to the end customer. The supply chain has developed these capabilities to support a global services and delivery network that must quickly and efficiently react to changing conditions across this global network that cannot necessarily be planned in the beginning of the chain. Without the strong extended collaborative network that support quick and efficient flow of goods and services to support the flow the retail market would not be possible.





Now retailers must realize and accept the forces in the marketplace and collaborate more effectively and robustly with the extended supply chain to not only support their customers’ demands for goods but also to understand and embrace the collaborative network concepts and framework to help sense and respond to the demands a of the market. The supply chain network and partners realized a long time ago that they are not islands and they require the support of the network in order to meet the demands of the market. It is now time for retailers to also come this realization and make the moves to enable their participation in the extended network.

Shift Retail Focus

As the marketplace shifts and the velocity and impact of changes disrupt the retail practices across all channels retailers must now shift their focus from an internalized focus to an external and extended collaborative focus in order to help them sense and respond to the changes. In addition, retailers must not only focus on sensing the changes early on in the market, they must also shift their focus from reaction to action and drive the market change through experimentation. The two practices of extended collaboration to sense the change and experimentation to react to and even drive change must then be combined with a culture change that encourages experimentation and exploring the leading edge. Retailers that are ‘good enough’ will struggle to survive while retailers that push the limits and are not afraid to fail in experiments will succeed and drive the market disruption.




This shift in focus will be difficult form many of the large retailers and will require investment and perseverance to succeed, however, there is really no choice in the matter, the large retailers must change or die. We have seen over the recent years large retailers struggling and failing in large part, I believe, because of their hesitancy to change the culture. The key to this round of market change and disruption is the velocity of change and the discontinuous spurts of change pushing the market disruption. This is is why it is so important for these large retailers to change their culture in order to drive the change in practices required to meet the demand. Rather than reducing spend and closing outlets as a result of lowered sales the retailers may need to close outlets but they should redouble the spend to change and recoup the sales lost.




This is something that I see with JC Penney, they have been pummelled by sales reductions after having tried new strategies and now they have changed their focus to spend on leaders to change their focus in reaction to the market changes. This is probably the best chance for JC Penney to turn around and survive with this change in leadership that brings with it a change in culture. This will only be confirmed though with some time. There are others that have changed leadership that have only continued with the legacy culture with new some new faces. This is basically a retailer experiment in real time that will provide proof of concept for meeting the demands of the new retail marketplace disruptions.




Amazon is still at the heart of disruption and they continuously demonstrate the reasons they remain the leader. Many of the major disruptions continue to be started with Amazon, such as Prime, or the acquisition of Whole Foods, have shown the focus and culture of experimentation demonstrated in real time. This culture of experimentation and collaboration must be encouraged and implemented with other retailers now in order to meet the disruption.

Supply Chain Collaboration

Supply chain collaboration practices will provide the framework and the foundation for the retail extended collaborative practices across the marketplace including partners, service providers and consumers. This is how important these collaboration practices and framework are to retailers in the marketplace. The challenge for retailers is to recognize these capabilities for the critical nature that they represent in today’s retail marketplace and then to take the appropriate actions to embrace and integrate these capabilities as a critical aspect of their shopping and purchasing framework. This is where the partnerships and the culture of collaboration come into play and requires the retailers to recognize these trends and take actions to incorporate and remake their offerings in a way that incorporates collaboration with partners and most importantly with consumers to allow them to sense and respond to the demands of the marketplace.




Most retailers continue to focus on integrating and adding eCommerce type goods and services to their offerings and then integrating these goods and services into the brick and mortar outlets. This was a very valid action to allow these retailers to attempt to catch up to the the consumer in their demands. This practice highlights the fact though that the retailers are still following trends in the market and acquiring companies that have developed the service or offerings after the trend is identified. From this perspective these retailers have not changed their culture or their practices that have been ingrained in the culture over many years - wait for the trend to be proven and then move to incorporate or acquire the trend. The recent trend from retailers now, to acquire the goods or services, has shortened the delivery lead time, however there is still a longer lead time from initial trend to the retailer responding and delivering the goods or services.




These retailers that do not change their practices and culture to one of extended collaboration and add to this a culture of experimentation are doomed to repeat the same cycle of slow failure that many of the large legacy retailers are currently experiencing. These retailers must change their culture to encourage and drive collaboration as a means to support experimentation in both goods and services. The supply chain has experience in this type of market upheaval and can provide support and guidance, along with new services that will support the market demands, if only retailers embrace more open collaborative practices.




Retailers must shift their focus from internalized measures to external collaboration and experimentation in goods and services. These retailers will never catch up by chasing trends and acquiring companies that are supporting these trends and they will also never gain enough time by cutting costs, Retailers must go back to their roots of experimentation and invention rather than following the leader. This is exactly why Amazon has been able to disrupt one market after another, Amazon is the master of experimentation in the retail market and have shown over and over again that they are willing to experiment and fail in the marketplace in order to move forward.

Omni Market Culture

The disruption currently sweeping through the retail marketplace must be met with both sweeping and continuous process change and also sweeping culture changes from the retailers to meet the increasing velocity of change. The scope and breadth of change in the marketplace have reached a level where change in process cannot hope to meet the demands. The culture must change now to commit the resources and focus to increase collaboration and sharing not only between the retailer and extended partners but also with all participants in the marketplace and especially consumers of the market goods and services. Consumers have always participated in the marketplace in a reactionary mode with shopping and purchasing and now these consumers are becoming an integrated partner in the retail marketplace demanding new interactions and services that can only be met through increased collaboration.




Communications and interactions across the marketplace have eliminated the lines between social networks and personal interactions and as these changes increase in velocity and scope across the marketplace there will be more and more pressure placed on the culture to support and adapt to the change. Marketplace disruption is driven to a large extent by communications and interactions across channels, participants, goods and services. This is significant because it is such a divergence from the past. The interactions between all market participants is required to increase dramatically now in order to support the demands of shopping and interactions across all channels. The lines between the online and the brick and mortar realms are being smashed now by consumer demands and the retailers are scrambling to catch up.




The sooner the retailer accepts this new reality the sooner they can begin the change. Since this requires a change in culture it cannot be purchased and must be built internally starting with continuous encouragement from the top leadership to build and grow the culture from the bottom. This is the most difficult type of change to implement because it is a long term initiative that cannot be purchased and the marketplace is filled with short term demands for change. The trick then for the retailers is to accept the fact of the collaboration requirement that carries through each of the demands and then to engage, encourage and develop the culture that supports these demands for collaboration.




The collaborative culture will help the retailers and partners across the marketplace sense and respond to the demands of the marketplace because they will be plugged into the channels that are developing and changing the demands. This is a major change to the ways that the marketplace participants engage and most importantly, the key participants driving the change, consumers, are driving these changes through the social networking and wireless technology tools already available. There is really no choice now for retailers but to engage and focus on the culture that will support the new collaborative demands and interactions from so many different tools. The signs and are now visible across the market and leaders such as Amazon are engaging in all channels to understand and respond to the demands. Large retailers that do not accept and respond to these new types of demands will be left behind and struggle to survive.

Omni Market Supply Chain

The omni market renewal is a massive undertaking that will span years and will in all reality probably not end and the extended supply chain plays a major role in the success of the renewal. As a result of the market renewal, the extended supply chain is also experiencing and in turn also being driven by the same disruption renewal in the retail marketplace. The extended supply chain began to recognize and take actions much earlier in the cycle than the key retailers because to a very large extend the extended supply chain and partners experienced a major market disruption a result of the great recession and this disruption forced the supply chain partners to address extreme pressure on costs and capabilities with similar impact as the disruption currently being experienced in the retail marketplace.




I think the leaders in retail disruption and renewal have long recognized the importance of their extended supply chain in supporting demands and they have shown their understanding through their focus on working with their supply chain to incorporate new capabilities. As example, the key retail players in this current disruption and renewal cycle, Amazon and Walmart, have both been early adopters of supply chain services and capabilities and have shown their recognition of the potential of a robust collaborative extended supply chain. Their demonstration of this understanding has come across as a focus on the automation that can improve throughput and costs and most importantly efficiencies. Early on efficiencies in supply chain execution were a key focus and these were critical to support the retail model in a global supply chain.




Now we have entered into a time where the retail marketplace is highly dependant on their supply chain to support the consumer selection and delivery demands and the supply chain has stepped up in many imaginative ways to address these challenges. This extended supply chain is able to now only support these demands but also develop and implement new solutions to simplify the process and they are able to do all of this because of their historical drive to manage costs, and improve services. The extended supply chain partners may be uniquely positioned to provide guidance and support to their retail partners to help guide through the challenges and demands of changing a culture while flying at 800 miles an hour.




The solution and means to meeting the marketplace disruption are rooted in collaboration and partnerships. This requires an extended focus on changing the culture of both organizations and the market. The market culture really starts with the consumer and consumers now are driving the disruption through technology tools and services available to them and most importantly these tools and services are continuously changing and improving as well to provide new capabilities and combinations to consumers. We have seen that consumers can be impatient in their demands and require a continuous interaction and reactions from all retail marketplace partners to sense and respond to the demands.

Omni Market Strategy

Two of the largest players in the retail marketplace are now in the process of rebuilding their strategies to form the retail market in the image that meets their vision and the two strategies are very different because of where these retailers came from in their growth and development. The origins are driving their strategies to allow them each to leverage their base and also to leverage their customer base practices and expectations. Amazon and Walmart are these two giants in the market and they each bring a very different perspective and direction to their actions and capability delivery. These differences in perspective bring different strengths to their practices and this really sets the tone and the direction based on where the consumers are coming from; whether an electronic focus that bleeds into the brick and mortar or the opposite.




You can see from the differences in strategies and focus that were driven by the base customers allowed these retailers to build their strategic capabilities and now they are each trying to re-imagine their omni market strategy incorporating these baseline strategies and capabilities. This is an extremely difficult challenge for both because it pushes them outside of their comfort zone. This is easy to see when viewing the sales and marketing strategies; they both purchased capabilities in their expansion target channel to help move them ahead and they both are now working to integrate these acquisitions into their omni market strategy. These challenges and reactions by these two leaders showcase the value of experimentation and the willingness to fail forward. They both show a great deal of courage in these reactions and their willingness to spend to experiment.




You can also very clearly see where each of these retailers started and their base comfort zone, whether brick and mortar or eCommerce, and each of these starting points are driving interesting interactions and focus based on each of their starting points. As I mentioned earlier, the most encouraging aspect of these results is the willingness and even the excitement to experiment. Each of these retailers realize the importance of their actions and each have truly embraced the value and concepts of this experimentation to develop the new retail model. Each of these retailers realize they are building the the future and they see the value to being first in the development and delivery of this future.




There is no substitute for this experimentation and each of these retailers has embraced the challenge. They both realize that this experimentation is pushing the boundaries forward in the only manner that can be successful, they must experiment to determine what works and what will be accepted by the consumer. They must experiment in this manner because the market is moving so fast and the forward movement will more than pay for the failures and will provide the lead to allow them to maintain a healthy lead on the competitive advantage. There are many other retailers attempting to focus on their omni market strategy and they are facing these challenges in historical manner where these retailers are taking the safe path of change, waiting on the changes to be a little more solidified. This shows the legacy culture that generally waits for the change to solidify. This culture though will fail this time because of the velocity and breadth of change in the market, the retailers that wait run a significant risk to waiting too long to change and then being too late for success.

Retail Renewal

Spring brings a sense of renewal and the current disrupting forces in the retail marketplace should be viewed as a type of retail spring renewal. Rather than a focus on cutting and reducing expense as a reaction to this disruption retailers should be looking at a renewal of the marketplace into an image and ability to efficiently and effectively support the changing demands of the consumer lifestyle in shopping and purchasing demands. Renewal provides an image of positive change and improvement to deliver on the imagination of the marketplace and this image is important to foster and encourage as opposed disruption that brings the image of cuts and reductions to address a downturn is sales. It is important to view and engage as an opportunity to grow rather than a requirement to cut and wait for some magical upturn in sales to appear.




There is a wide variety of purchasing capabilities that can be utilized to support the consumer lifestyle that have been developed over the years and there does not seem to be a limiting factor from the purchase capabilities. The limiting factor seems to be the transparency and combinations of shopping and purchasing and delivery capabilities available to the consumer from all channels in a true omni market view. This is where the retail disruption, or renewal, is focused and this is the key challenge to the larger retailers. These large retailers must overcome their natural tendency to fall back into the reaction methods from the past. They must overcome their reaction to reduce costs when faced with a downturn and must instead focus on the renew and an analysis to determine the reason for the downturn and then how to react to the downturn to recover the sales. This reaction spells the difference between success and failure in this new retail marketplace.




I saw a report that for the first time online sales have surpassed in store, brick and mortar, sales. This would seem to add weight to the retail marketplace disruption that should be driving renewal activities in the larger retailers. This news should be a little intimidating to retailers because it confirms the forecasts and the direction that has been assumed by many for a while. You could see the coming changes with the large players working to blur the lines between channels to support the omnimarket capabilities that are now coming together. You could also see the coming changes with the extended supply chain service offerings and especially in the drive to simplify the delivery based on the consumer lifestyle.




I see the differences coming together now in many ways and one of the ways is manner in which Amazon is experimenting with omnimarket retail. Amazon is playing their brand across channels and retail market segments to bring a shopping and purchasing experience that focuses on meeting consumer needs across product commodity. This is important and the only other american retailer with a similar type of market coverage would be Walmart and Walmart has been focused on growth in omnimarket to meet the Amazon challenge.

Supporting Discontinuous Change

The current retail marketplace experience of discontinuous change causing disruption and in some cases extreme challenges to react should not be a surprise to anyone. In fact, I think the big surprise is the continued dependence of major retailers on historical reactions such as cutting costs to react to the market disruption. This type of marketplace disruption requires a new way of reacting and not just retrenching into more of the same tactics used during market downturns. We are not experiencing a downturn in the market, we are experience an overhaul of the market shopping and purchasing while the market is expanding. These are the most difficult conditions to address and requires investment in rebuilding the retailer business model.





The level of discontinuous change in the retail marketplace has disrupted this marketplace demanding of participants a transparent and cohesive shopping and purchasing experience. The waves of demands have not given the large legacy retailers much of a chance to catch up with the demands and the bad news is that these waves of demands and change will only increase in velocity and impact as they build on the previous changes. This requires a new paradigm from the retail marketplace of participants and partners to support both the level and velocity of the change.





This paradigm change requires a focus on increased and improved capabilities to sense change and, probably most important, a new increased focus on experimentation, especially in meeting change. What has become abundantly clear though is that this new paradigm requires a high level of collaboration across not only partners but consumers as well. This is requires as an integrated plan and partnerships to support not only the necessary activities and practices to sense change, it is also required to support the reaction to the change. Every single change and and especially change leading to disruption requires requires a coordinated response across a multitude of partner to react and support the demands.





In looking back and looking around I do not really see any marketplace disruption that required only one organization to drive, yes there was one leader that recognized the opportunity for change and market disruption, however, that leader then partnered with other participants to support and enable the disruption. The key issue that is see that absolutely must be overcome in order to survive is supporting a robust collaboration model and unfortunately this is the one issue that requires a culture change in the large legacy retailers to enact. In looking around I see many companies that speak about the importance of collaboration and are even taking steps to improve collaboration with their external partners, the issue that I see though is that many of the same larger legacy retailers are still hung up in internal silos that are slowing change through the controls to maintain these silos.





In order to truly support the discontinuous change and the market disruption that will only increase in velocity I believe that the market must create chief collaboration officer that is empowered to seek out and expand collaboration across internal silos while also seeking out and expanding collaboration across their market partners. This is a culture change that will require support of the organization leadership and the best way to broadcast the support and importance is through the creation of a chief collaboration officer that is empowered to make change. This chief collaboration officer will be charged with sensing and supporting the change and disruption in the marketplace and this officer will also be charged with the authority to experiment and the encouragement to fail.

Disruption Culture

The disruption roaring through the marketplace now requires imagination, flexibility and a culture that does not freeze or shrink from the change driving the disruption. This disruption culture requires a willingness and encouragement to experiment and fail while reacting to the change in the marketplace. The key to success in the disruption is the imagination to experiment with new ideas and processes to meet the demands of the marketplace with a goal of creating the disruption in the marketplace. Disruption seems to be the norm, or at least it the changes are greater and increasing in frequency, requiring reactions from the marketplace in order to maintain their place. In the past retailers could wait for the change to solidify before reacting and now they cannot afford to wait for the change to solidify before the next wave of change.




Disruption is identified later in time when the changes have increased in velocity and impact resulting in a broad spectrum change that impacts the marketplace and changes it forever. In other words, disruption is identified when you realize the impact to the marketplace. This is also why it is so important for each participant in the marketplace to react and support the changes in their field. If any one or two of the participants do not support the change they run the very real risk of being left out of the marketplace. In my opinion, this lack of supporting market changes is the key factor for the retail market failures of some of the major retailers recently.




The retail marketplace is now in a time of discontinuous and disruptive change and the only way for the market to react is to develop and encourage a culture of change that embraces and encourages the changes that disrupt the marketplace. That is why it is so important for retailers and the supply chain partners to create a disruption culture that is guided by change and more importantly embraces the change and the resulting disruption. This is not an easy lift because requires the largest partners with the most to lose to be the leaders in the change.




The secret of Amazon and Google and Facebook is that they have developed a disruption culture that searches out change that can disrupt the marketplace and they use this as a way to get ahead of their competition. We have seen this over and over where an upstart enters the market with a new idea and this idea catches fire with the consumer and before you realize it they have disrupted the market and leave the competition behind. This is the point though where especially the largest retailers must focus their resources on sensing and responding to the change. They must realize that they are under attack from the market and the competition and they cannot reduce spending to address the issue, they must refocus their investments on the tools and the culture that will allow them to sense and respond to the changes.

Preparing For Disruption

Disruption is defined as a break or interruption in the normal course or continuation of some activity or process and so you would also assume that this disruption is caused by some time of surprise, unplanned, event that causes the interruption. Then by this definition it is very difficult to plan for disruption, however you can prepare for a disruption by developing flexibility and improved sensory tools to quickly react to the disruption. The challenge then is; how do you prepare for a surprise or unplanned event? Considering the worst case result of the disruption, though it is one of the most important activities for any business and especially for the retail marketplace and the partners and infrastructure supporting the retail marketplace. In short somehow preparing for disruption is at least as important and should receive the same focus and effort as sales forecast and product development.




I say this because disruption by its very definition cannot be planned and as a result there is no way to forecast how or when the disruption will materialize. So the disruption can be in products or sales channel or even marketplace and the disruption ripples across a large number of participants and even other marketplaces impacting process and activities in its wake. We have reached a point though in technologies supporting the marketplace activities and processes that has dramatically increased the partner flexibility capabilities along with the analysis and forecast capabilities that can be incorporated to support the sensory early identification of potential disruptions and allow the partners in the marketplace to quickly adjust in a manner that allows them to react to the disruption and address the interruption.




The focus in the retail marketplace must be on sensing or even creating the next market disruption. This can be achieved through robust collaboration and data analytics. The key though, in my opinion, is the sense potential change and move to react and take advantage of the change. In order to succeed in the response to change the partners must embrace failure and understand that the only way to meet the challenge is through a continuous improvement process of plan, do, check, act, or, trial and error. This process must increase in velocity though in order to reduce the reaction and action timing. The goal of this process is to not just improve the ability and the speed of reaction but to actually help to disrupt the marketplace base on the reactions of the consumers. This, in effect, has been the path taken by Amazon in their market disruption over the years, Amazon has recognized signs from consumers and taken action to react and support the consumer demands.




Unfortunately this is a culture change in addition to the change in process and the culture change will be the most difficult to install. It will require a continuous focus and engagement from all levels and all partners in the marketplace to succeed. However, there really is no other option and the sooner this is realized and embraced, the sooner the disruption will be understood and embraced.

Conversational Commerce

For a very long time the brick and mortar retail could be considered what I would call conversational commerce in that there was a give and take type of interaction between the consumer and the sales associate. This was disrupted with the entry of eCommerce bringing online sales and also a push towards cost savings in the the brick and mortar market that all but eliminated the give and take. Recently though I see a resurgence in in the conversation in the omni market between the consumers and starting to see an increase in the virtual personalized service which leads me to believe that the retail marketplace is on the cusp of a return to the conversational commerce practice. I see the entry of the 5g wireless network capabilities and the growth of the unlimited data as two driving factors that will push this over the tipping point.




In the last few months I have experienced a semi-personalized retail experience with an online retailer that made me rethink the potential for conversational commerce in this omni marketplace with the growth and expansion of consumer utilization of technology. This online retailer uses a combination of email that was personalized based on the service and the potential sale and then continued follow-up using both personalized email with special offers and targeted text messages with special offers. These are not uncommon things by any means, however this retailer used the combinations of technologies to try to create a direct and personalized message. This made me think about the potential available from tools and technology in combinations to create direct and personalized messages to create a conversational shopping and sales experience.




The goal of the eCommerce retailer is the customer return and the ability to keep the customer on the site for a longer period of time. This goal is necessarily expanded for the omni market retailer to encourage the customer to not only return to the eCommerce site but also to return to the store for shopping and purchasing. This enticement to return is much greater when customer is engaged in a personalized conversation with the retailer that is continuously reaching out for reaction and interaction with the customer. This conversation requires a strategy plan to utilize the social networking tools, email and texting in a coordinated manner the engages the customer cohesively across the tools and the channels. This requires an increase in focused customer service human support to both identify and coordinate the conversation topics focused on individual customer shopping and purchasing habits. This is where the big data and AI technologies play a critical role to help the retailer identify the these conversation topics and then to track and revise the conversations based on the responses.




I see this conversational commerce as a coming major disrupter in the retail marketplace and the retailers that have been focused on AI and data analysis will be the retailers that are best prepared. This is another development that does not require a great deal for the initial entry, however the retailers that invest early in the technologies and participate in the early discovery aspects of the conversational commerce will be the retailers that thrive in the coming years. This will also be the retailers that are best prepared for the next wave of change and disruption.

Supply Chain Multi Sourcing

The velocity of change is impacting all aspects of the marketplace from customer relationships to partner relationships to the manufacturing relationships and everything between. Retailers in the fashion industry seem to be the first to recognize and many of them have reacted to the changes to implement the fast fashion market segment. I find this as a great initial example of the results of the velocity of change in the marketplace and believe this will be the model for many of the aspects of the changes. The collaborative supply chain is providing the tools and the network to support the changes and the partners are expanding their experiments into all aspects of the collaborative network to improve their ability to meet the demands. The next step from a sourcing perspective is the expansion of the multi sourcing practice to develop manufacturing partners locally to meet spikes in demand and support end of life cycle demand to reduce overstock.




We have reached the point now in the retail marketplace where the specialty service providers are expanding in the services and even products they offer to support the specialty demands. This includes the local manufacturing of products in the marketplace. These collaborative practices in the extended supply chain along with the growth in capabilities of data analytics provide the tools now for retailers and manufacturers to improve planning and forecasting so demand to a point where the majority of retailers can improve their abilities to support the consumer demands. These capabilities now provide the framework for any retailer to utilize to their advantage.




There is no way to go back and the supply chain partners including manufacturers, transportation and retailers must accept and embrace the change. I see technology manufacturers embracing the global manufacturing and marketplace along with home products. These have all blazed the trail of this model and going forward the collaborative supply chain network will provide the support necessary to link and communicate in this global model. I envision this model to grow and expand as the market demands change and grow to require the global model to meet the demands. The multi sourcing model provides the framework to support the changing demands.




Just as the retail marketplace changed with the growth and expansion of the collaborative and social tools integration with the sales and shopping, these same tools and practices will expand into the sourcing and manufacturing realm to support the consumer demands more efficiently bringing with them a quickening and shortening of the product life cycle. The result of the collaborative supply chain growth and expansion will spread through the forecasting, planning and manufacturing practices in the supply chain. As this multi sourcing model expands the through the collaborative marketplace the results will change the way that consumer demands are met, increasing the flexibility to meet the spikes more efficiently to increase sales and opportunities.

Artificial Intelligence Improving Logistics

Over the last few years there has been a great deal of interest and development in the area of artificial intelligence (AI) and the potential to improve the supply chain and logistics. There is an immense amount of data available across the supply chain from a combination of Internet of Things (IoT) devices connected directly to supply chain partners and the partners across the supply chain network. In addition to the data produced internally to the supply chain there is now also an immense amount of data available from external customers to the supply chain partners though the direct interaction with in the supply chain through through partner portals and direct interactions through integration points with supply chain external customers. The Internet and online interactions provide this data and supply chain partners would be foolish not to use this data to improve their logistics capabilities.





The challenge though for the supply chain has been two fold, how to utilize the data and what data to collect for the analysis and use of the data. Artificial intelligence starts with the collection of data for analysis and this is an important starting point. There is no way early on in the journey to determine what data will be important because the analysis must be performed first to understand the foundation and the potential. The intelligence part of the analysis also requires a great deal of information in order to validate the the hypothesis and then to determine direction based on the intelligence. Starting with the data then you can see why it is so important to collect everything because the intelligence part of the equation will generally require additional data from the same periods to confirm and validate direction.





It is important to collect all data then because you cannot tell what may be important for the analysis and then determining direction. The good news here though is that storage is cheap and the technology to analyze vast amounts of data has been improved through the improvements in technology. These two points have probably done more for the growth and development of artificial intelligence than any other developments over the last few years. These improvements in technology allow the supply chain to refine and redirect logistics activities and practices based on facts and data rather than hunches and hopes. Combine these two technologies with the growth of the Internet of Things capabilities and technologies and the potential for improvements is almost overwhelming.





These capabilities bring improvements and opportunities in automation including warehouse location and slotting, drones and robotics to improve efficiencies and reduce costs. These are not the only areas of improvement to the achieved through artificial intelligence. There will be improvements in volumes, inbound and outbound, forecasts for instance, that will bring dramatic change to the supply chain as the extended partners in the supply chain, especially manufacturers and transportation providers as the revise their processes to incorporate the analytics into their plans and procedures. The warehouse operation though will also be dramatically impacted as artificial intelligence brings the analytics to the equation that allows the operation to understand and immediately adjust labor forecasts to changes in the operation during the date based on near real time events. Artificial intelligence is just another force bringing transformation to the supply chain and the supply chain must start with a baseline of continuous improvements in the flexibility and continuous change practices in order to meet the transformations.

Smart Manufacturing Impact On Retail

The retail marketplace is poised now to truly leverage the capabilities and benefits of smart manufacturing with the integration and expansion of the collaborative retail network. Smart manufacturing provides capabilities to customize and deliver on demand and the practices in smart manufacturing supporting the efficient product changeover and customization allows retailers to refine and expand their offerings into a type of endless aisle without the expense of manufacturing an endless aisle of inventory. This is just one example of the opportunities available with the combination of the collaborative network when combined with the capabilities of smart manufacturing. This can be the next wave of improvements in the retail shopping experience and is really just in the infancy of development and implementation in the retail marketplace.





I believe that retailers have a great opportunity to develop a relationship with smart manufacturers to enhance the consumer shopping and purchasing opportunities for new and customized products for customer purchasing. This will be an awesome development in the retail shopping experience and is an important improvement and additional transformation for the consumer shopping experience. This capability potential from smart manufacturing combined with the capabilities of the collaborative network provide the framework for the next retail transformation.





I see this transformation utilizing smart manufacturing to start from two different directions both the smart manufacturer through direct interaction with consumers and through specialized service providers that partner with smart manufacturers. This will be the first wave of transformation in the retail marketplace because of the traditional retail culture this marketplace change will start with the small and nimble providers that are experimenters and forward thinking. The benefit to the marketplace starts with the collaborative network that provides the framework for the types of services and offerings that are required to introduce the opportunities from smart manufacturing.





Retailers and especially the large retailers should focus on embracing these capabilities offered by smart manufacturing to refine their product development and replenishment strategies. The smart manufacturing capabilities will provide retailers with the opportunity to develop a replenishment strategy to reduce overstock and refine and improve the replenishment cycle in a manner that transforms their forecasting and replenishment to reduce overstock and the costs associated with overstock. This requires though retailers to reevaluate much of their retail strategy because of the recent growth and expansion of the overstock marketplace. The capabilities fit perfectly with the collaborative network capabilities though and this is why it will catch fire with consumers.





Unfortunately, from an historical perspective, the large retailers have historically followed the lead of smaller retailers to experiment and develop the new technologies or capabilities in the retail experience. This needs to change though because of the speed in which the retail marketplace is changing now. The marketplace development is not slowing down and every new development and improvement in the marketplace is in fact speeding the changes in the market. This should be the next focus for the large retailers in their transformation because consumers will embrace these capabilities because it fits right in with their lifestyles.